Table 1.
Mean number and proportion of severe cases averted due to distribution of oral antivirals at 10% and 90% vaccination coverage
Country | Testing rate (tests/100,000 people/day) | Re | 10% vaccination coverage | 90% vaccination coverage | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. of severe cases averted | Proportion of severe cases averted | No. of severe cases averted | Proportion of severe cases averted | |||
Zambia | 10 | 0.9 | 29 | 2.7 | 3 | 1.1 |
1.2 | 16 | 0.3 | 20 | 1.1 | ||
1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
2.0 | 22 | 0.2 | 32 | 0.7 | ||
100 | 0.9 | 147 | 16.9 | 48 | 20.1 | |
1.2 | 170 | 3.3 | 72 | 4.4 | ||
1.5 | 172 | 1.9 | 131 | 3.7 | ||
2.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
500 | 0.9 | 242 | 35.0 | 102 | 45.6 | |
1.2 | 1053 | 26.5 | 441 | 38.0 | ||
1.5 | 780 | 9.0 | 527 | 16.4 | ||
2.0 | 824 | 7.2 | 433 | 8.8 | ||
Brazil | 10 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 10 | 2.8 |
1.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 59 | 3.2 | ||
1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 13 | 0.2 | ||
2.0 | 61 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
100 | 0.9 | 303 | 23.7 | 133 | 54.6 | |
1.2 | 623 | 6.4 | 195 | 13.6 | ||
1.5 | 245 | 1.2 | 196 | 3.7 | ||
2.0 | 305 | 1.2 | 24 | 0.2 | ||
500 | 0.9 | 511 | 47.4 | 134 | 55.3 | |
1.2 | 2739 | 43.1 | 545 | 55.4 | ||
1.5 | 2005 | 10.7 | 1404 | 35.7 | ||
2.0 | 1553 | 6.1 | 872 | 9.4 | ||
Georgia | 10 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
1.2 | 282 | 2.1 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
1.5 | 163 | 0.4 | 80 | 1.2 | ||
2.0 | 34 | 0.1 | 148 | 0.9 | ||
100 | 0.9 | 635 | 49.9 | 170 | 65.3 | |
1.2 | 1459 | 13.4 | 336 | 29.6 | ||
1.5 | 929 | 2.6 | 483 | 8.7 | ||
2.0 | 415 | 0.8 | 284 | 1.7 | ||
500 | 0.9 | 792 | 63.4 | 167 | 63.5 | |
1.2 | 4344 | 65.3 | 597 | 66.9 | ||
1.5 | 7481 | 24.3 | 2270 | 66.1 | ||
2.0 | 4435 | 8.4 | 2115 | 13.6 | ||
Netherlands | 10 | 0.9 | 298 | 14.4 | 0 | 0.0 |
1.2 | 243 | 1.8 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
1.5 | 183 | 0.5 | 133 | 2.0 | ||
2.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 22 | 0.1 | ||
100 | 0.9 | 598 | 48.2 | 171 | 66.6 | |
1.2 | 2333 | 20.1 | 362 | 30.7 | ||
1.5 | 953 | 2.7 | 419 | 7.5 | ||
2.0 | 854 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
500 | 0.9 | 811 | 63.1 | 185 | 67.0 | |
1.2 | 4857 | 68.5 | 604 | 67.3 | ||
1.5 | 8947 | 28.0 | 2123 | 65.1 | ||
2.0 | 3190 | 5.9 | 2960 | 18.1 |
No restrictions on access to symptomatic testing at clinics (i.e., all symptomatic individuals who sought testing at clinics would receive one if in stock) and high-risk household contacts of test-positive individuals are not tested. The average values tabulated are based on results from five independent simulations.