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. 2023 Dec 2;14:7981. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-43769-z

Table 1.

Mean number and proportion of severe cases averted due to distribution of oral antivirals at 10% and 90% vaccination coverage

Country Testing rate (tests/100,000 people/day) Re 10% vaccination coverage 90% vaccination coverage
No. of severe cases averted Proportion of severe cases averted No. of severe cases averted Proportion of severe cases averted
Zambia 10 0.9 29 2.7 3 1.1
1.2 16 0.3 20 1.1
1.5 0 0.0 0 0.0
2.0 22 0.2 32 0.7
100 0.9 147 16.9 48 20.1
1.2 170 3.3 72 4.4
1.5 172 1.9 131 3.7
2.0 0 0.0 0 0.0
500 0.9 242 35.0 102 45.6
1.2 1053 26.5 441 38.0
1.5 780 9.0 527 16.4
2.0 824 7.2 433 8.8
Brazil 10 0.9 0 0.0 10 2.8
1.2 0 0.0 59 3.2
1.5 0 0.0 13 0.2
2.0 61 0.2 0 0.0
100 0.9 303 23.7 133 54.6
1.2 623 6.4 195 13.6
1.5 245 1.2 196 3.7
2.0 305 1.2 24 0.2
500 0.9 511 47.4 134 55.3
1.2 2739 43.1 545 55.4
1.5 2005 10.7 1404 35.7
2.0 1553 6.1 872 9.4
Georgia 10 0.9 0 0.0 0 0.0
1.2 282 2.1 0 0.0
1.5 163 0.4 80 1.2
2.0 34 0.1 148 0.9
100 0.9 635 49.9 170 65.3
1.2 1459 13.4 336 29.6
1.5 929 2.6 483 8.7
2.0 415 0.8 284 1.7
500 0.9 792 63.4 167 63.5
1.2 4344 65.3 597 66.9
1.5 7481 24.3 2270 66.1
2.0 4435 8.4 2115 13.6
Netherlands 10 0.9 298 14.4 0 0.0
1.2 243 1.8 0 0.0
1.5 183 0.5 133 2.0
2.0 0 0.0 22 0.1
100 0.9 598 48.2 171 66.6
1.2 2333 20.1 362 30.7
1.5 953 2.7 419 7.5
2.0 854 1.5 0 0.0
500 0.9 811 63.1 185 67.0
1.2 4857 68.5 604 67.3
1.5 8947 28.0 2123 65.1
2.0 3190 5.9 2960 18.1

No restrictions on access to symptomatic testing at clinics (i.e., all symptomatic individuals who sought testing at clinics would receive one if in stock) and high-risk household contacts of test-positive individuals are not tested. The average values tabulated are based on results from five independent simulations.