Table A2.

Interrupted Time Series Models of Firearm Assault+Unintentional Injuries

	Firearm Assault+Unintentional Injuries
	Rate per 100,000
	AR(1) TSR	AR(1) TSR	RE HLM	RE HLM	RE HLM +Int.
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)
T	0.002	−0.002	0.005	0.004	0.003
	(0.0001|0.003)	(−0.005|0.001)	(0.001|0.009)	(0.0001|0.008)	(−0.001|0.008)
COVID - State of Emergency	−0.608	−0.464	−0.178	−0.022	0.039
	(−1.486|0.270)	(−1.380|0.452)	(−2.343|1.987)	(−2.190|2.146)	(−2.269|2.347)
COVID - Stay at Home	0.445	0.451	−0.726	−0.844	−0.877
	(−0.464|1.354)	(−0.490|1.393)	(−2.962|1.509)	(−3.080|1.392)	(−3.249|1.496)
Post-Killing	3.394	3.341	3.606	3.493	1.812
	(2.443|4.345)	(2.337|4.344)	(1.323|5.890)	(1.208|5.778)	(−0.774|4.397)
T Post-Killing	−0.097	−0.092	−0.160	−0.156	−0.163
	(−0.128|−0.065)	(−0.127|−0.057)	(−0.235|−0.085)	(−0.232|−0.081)	(−0.242|−0.084)
MPD Use of Force t-1		−0.083		−0.186	−0.169
		(−2.252|2.086)		(−0.272|−0.100)	(−0.255|−0.082)
MPD Stops t-1		−0.265		0.022	0.042
		(−0.649|0.118)		(−0.011|0.054)	(0.005|0.079)
MPD OIS t-1		−10.263		−3.256	−2.942
		(−73.259|52.733)		(−20.666|14.155)	(−20.784|14.900)
AR(1)	0.045	−0.038
	(−0.075|0.165)	(−0.173|0.096)
Median HH Income					0.00000
					(−0.00003|0.00004)
Percent Black					0.055
					(−0.003|0.113)
Post-Killing X Percent Black					0.100
					(0.052|0.148)
Constant	0.411	1.290	−0.280	−0.236	−1.599
	(−0.787|1.609)	(−0.483|3.063)	(−3.369|2.809)	(−3.340|2.868)	(−5.960|2.762)
SD(ZCTA)			1.779	1.916	1.449
SD(Residual)			8.493	8.494	8.704
Observations	260	217	5,770	5,748	5,460
R2	0.491	0.513
Log Likelihood			−20,564.490	−20,488.920	−19,603.880
Akaike Inf. Crit.			41,154.970	41,009.850	39,245.770
Bayesian Inf. Crit.			41,241.560	41,116.350	39,371.270
Residual Std. Error	0.721 (df = 248)	0.742 (df = 202)
F Statistic	21.786*** (df = 11; 248)	15.216*** (df = 14; 202)
Models include controls for seasonality.	95% Confidence Intervals in parentheses