Table 3. C Statistics and 95% CIs for Each Model and Number of Observations and Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) Events, by Race and Sex Strataa.
Model | C statistic (95% CI) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Black | White | |||
Female | Male | Female | Male | |
Observations by each race and sex stratum | ||||
No. of participants/No. of ASCVD events | 2934/166 | 1709/153 | 3830/195 | 3165/297 |
Model A: original pooled cohort risk equationb | 0.69 (0.66-0.73) | 0.66 (0.61-0.70) | 0.75 (0.72-0.79) | 0.66 (0.63-0.69) |
Model B: original pooled cohort risk equation with REGARDS-specific coefficientsc | 0.71 (0.68-0.75) | 0.69 (0.64-0.73) | 0.77 (0.74-0.81) | 0.68 (0.64-0.71) |
Model C: simplified REGARDS-specific pooled cohort risk equationc | 0.71 (0.68-0.75) | 0.68 (0.64-0.73) | 0.77 (0.74-0.80) | 0.68 (0.65-0.71) |
Model D: model C without raced | 0.71 (0.67-0.75) | 0.68 (0.63-0.72) | 0.76 (0.73-0.80) | 0.68 (0.65-0.71) |
Model E: model D plus SDOH variablese | 0.72 (0.68-0.76) | 0.68 (0.64-0.72) | 0.77 (0.74-0.80) | 0.68 (0.65-0.71) |
Abbreviations: REGARDS, Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke; SDOH, social determinants of health.
All models employed the entire study population (nā=ā11ā138) with imputation for missing values.
Defined in Goff et al.7
Simplified Pooled Cohort Risk Equation includes age, high-density lipoprotein, systolic blood pressure interaction with treatment, current smoking status, and diabetes status.
Model fitted on each sex stratum (male and female) and C statistics and associated 95% CIs were computed for each race stratum using bootstrapping.
The following SDOH variables were included in this model: Area Deprivation Index (continuous variable), low education, low income, zip code in poverty, no insurance, health professional shortage area category (indicator variables as defined in Table 1 and 2).