Table A.4:
The Long-Run Effects of the 1980–1982 Recession on Education, Reduced-Form and OLS Estimates
Dependent variable: | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HS/GED attainment | Any college attendance | Any college degree attainment | Four-year college degree attainment | Two-year college degree attainment | Years of schooling | |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
Panel A. Reduced-Form Estimates | ||||||
Interaction between 1979–1982 predicted log employment decrease and age in 1979 | ||||||
0–10 | −0.010 (0.022) |
−0.127 (0.075) |
−0.208 (0.080) |
−0.220 (0.080) |
0.012 (0.027) |
−0.926 (0.398) |
11–19 | 0.025 (0.020) |
−0.063 (0.055) |
−0.132 (0.044) |
−0.128 (0.042) |
−0.005 (0.020) |
−0.475 (0.245) |
Panel B. OLS Estimates | ||||||
Interaction between 1979–1982 log real earnings per capita decrease and age in 1979 | ||||||
0–10 | 0.005 (0.013) |
−0.007 (0.026) |
−0.039 (0.027) |
−0.042 (0.025) |
0.004 (0.014) |
−0.166 (0.140) |
11–19 | 0.001 (0.008) |
0.035 (0.019) |
−0.001 (0.018) |
−0.001 (0.015) |
−0.0002 (0.008) |
−0.008 (0.097) |
Panel C. OLS Estimates | ||||||
Interaction between 1979–1982 log employment decrease and age in 1979 | ||||||
0–10 | 0.005 (0.011) |
−0.058 (0.028) |
−0.118 (0.027) |
−0.121 (0.024) |
0.003 (0.014) |
−0.465 (0.125) |
11–19 | 0.018 (0.008) |
0.015 (0.019) |
−0.029 (0.015) |
−0.042 (0.014) |
0.013 (0.010) |
−0.110 (0.081) |
Notes: See notes to Table 2 for details on specification and sample.
Sources: BEA Regional Economic Accounts, Census County Business Patterns, Confidential 2000–2013 Census/ACS data linked to the SSA NUMIDENT file