Skip to main content
. 2023 Dec 7;6(12):e2346598. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.46598

Table. Global Projected COPD Prevalence, Cases, and Relative Change From 2020 to 2050 by Sex.

Sex 2020 2030 2040 2050
Female
Prevalence, % 7.8 8.1 8.34 8.33
Cases, No. 176 776 887 210 351 803 240 030 181 260 106 028
Relative change in prevalence, % NA 3.8 (vs 2020) 2.5 (vs 2030) −0.12 (vs 2040); 6.4 (vs 2020)
Relative change in cases, % NA 19.0 (vs 2020) 14.1 (vs 2030) 8.4 (vs 2040); 47.1 (vs 2020)
Male
Prevalence, % 13.4 12.5 11.6 10.6
Cases 303 080 615 322 532 353 333 145 741 331 449 760
Relative change in prevalence, % -NA −6.7 (vs 2020) −7.2 (vs 2030) −8.6 (vs 2040); −20.9 (vs 2020)
Relative change in cases, % NA 6.4 (vs 2020) 3.3 (vs 2030) −0.5 (vs 2040); 9.4 (vs 2020)
Global
Prevalence, % 10.6 10.3 9.7 9.5
Cases, No. 479 857 502 532 884 156 573 175 922 591 555 788
Relative change in prevalence, % NA −2.8 (vs 2020) −5.8 (vs 2030) −2.1 (vs 2040); −10.4 (vs 2020)
Relative change in cases, % NA 11.0 (vs 2020) 7.6 (vs 2030) 3.2 (vs 2040); 23.3 (vs 2020)

Abbreviation: NA, not applicable.