Table 4.
Predictions of Average Earnings from 2006 to 2014, by Race and College Quality, Men
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
| (Unconditional) | (+ Family Background and Armed Forces Qualifying Test Score) | (+ Share of Years Reporting Zero Weeks Worked) | |||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||
| $ | P | m ≠ w | $ | P | m ≠ w | $ | P | m ≠ w | |
|
| |||||||||
| Whites | |||||||||
|
| |||||||||
| Community | 51,258.15 | ††† | 50,420.85 | ††† | 45,842.18 | ††† | |||
|
| |||||||||
| Non- or Less Competitive | 64,916.69 | ††† | 65,848.37 | ††† | 66,996.79 | ††† | |||
|
| |||||||||
| Competitive | 78,077.72 | ††† | 79,049.54 | ††† | 77,780.03 | ††† | |||
|
| |||||||||
| Very, Highly, or Most Competitive | 95,568.64 | ††† | 96,980.96 | ††† | 92,694.09 | ††† | |||
|
| |||||||||
| Blacks | |||||||||
|
| |||||||||
| Community | 30,350.55 | *** | †† | 38,840.55 | * | †† | 38,620.94 | ††† | |
|
| |||||||||
| Non- or Less Competitive | 35,799.89 | *** | †† | 46,757.03 | * | †† | 54,380.99 | ††† | |
|
| |||||||||
| Competitive | 47,317.24 | *** | †† | 58,859.00 | * | †† | 65,649.15 | ††† | |
|
| |||||||||
| Very, Highly, or Most Competitive | 63,308.82 | * | 85,598.24 | † | 89,009.64 | ††† | |||
|
| |||||||||
| Hispanics | |||||||||
|
| |||||||||
| Community | 35,548.38 | ** | 42,459.25 | 42,990.74 | ††† | ||||
|
| |||||||||
| Non- or Less Competitive | 65,515.37 | †† | 80,881.47 | †† | 77,708.51 | ††† | |||
|
| |||||||||
| Competitive | 71,119.72 | †† | 88,354.29 | †† | 80,148.79 | ††† | |||
|
| |||||||||
| Very, Highly, or Most Competitive | 73,380.24 | ††† | 81,829.25 | ††† | 85,969.68 | ††† | |||
Note: Asterisks indicate significance of difference in earnings relative to same-quality Whites:
p < .05
p < .01
p < .001. Crosses indicate significance of difference in earnings relative to same-quality, same-race women (see Table 5):
p < .05
p < .01
p < .001. Average earnings includes years of $0 if respondent also reported at least one year of ≥$1 earnings during the observation period. Model 1 predictions are for a college-goer who has completed 14 years at community college or 16 years at four-year colleges. Model 2 adds to Model 1 control variables for background characteristics and re-predicts earnings as if college-goers had the means on those variables of same-gender Whites who attended colleges of that quality. Model 3 adds to Model 2 a control variable for share of years during the observation period that the respondent reported zero weeks worked and again re-predicts earnings at the means of same-gender Whites who attended colleges of that quality. See Online Appendix Table 3 for regression coefficients.