Table 1. Results of the Mann-Kendall Test for Trend for 48 time-series observations by pathogen and initial inoculum level.
Mann-Kendall Test Values | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pathogen | Lot | Replicate | n | S | p-value | conclusion |
Campylobacter (43 to 162 CFU/mL initial inoculum) | A | 1 | 6 | -10 | 0.035 | ↘ |
2 | 6 | -12 | 0.013 | ↘ | ||
B | 1 | 6 | -12 | 0.013 | ↘ | |
2 | 6 | -9 | 0.036 | ↘ | ||
C | 1 | 6 | -10 | 0.035 | ↘ | |
2 | 6 | -12 | 0.013 | ↘ | ||
Campylobacter (600 to 1,100 CFU/mL initial inoculum) | A | 1 | 6 | -12 | 0.013 | ↘ |
2 | 6 | -12 | 0.013 | ↘ | ||
B | 1 | 6 | -12 | 0.018 | ↘ | |
2 | 6 | -8 | 0.090 | NT | ||
C | 1 | 6 | -12 | 0.018 | ↘ | |
2 | 6 | -14 | 0.006 | ↘ | ||
L. monocytogenes (26 to 41 CFU/mL initial inoculum) | A | 1 | 6 | 11 | 0.030 | + |
2 | 6 | 10 | 0.043 | + | ||
B | 1 | 6 | 11 | 0.030 | + | |
2 | 6 | 11 | 0.030 | + | ||
C | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0.066 | NT | |
2 | 6 | 9 | 0.066 | NT | ||
L. monocytogenes (3,000 to 7,900 CFU/mL initial inoculum) | A | 1 | 6 | 13 | 0.012 | + |
2 | 6 | 9 | 0.066 | NT | ||
B | 1 | 6 | 13 | 0.012 | + | |
2 | 6 | 15 | 0.004 | + | ||
C | 1 | 6 | 13 | 0.012 | + | |
2 | 6 | 9 | 0.066 | NT | ||
E. coli O157:H7 (22 to 46 CFU/mL initial inoculum) | A | 1 | 6 | -3 | 0.354 | NT |
2 | 6 | -1 | 0.500 | NT | ||
B | 1 | 6 | -3 | 0.354 | NT | |
2 | 6 | -3 | 0.354 | NT | ||
C | 1 | 6 | -8 | 0.090 | NT | |
2 | 6 | -4 | 0.283 | NT | ||
E. coli O157:H7 (6,700 to 8,300 CFU/mL initial inoculum) | A | 1 | 6 | -7 | 0.130 | NT |
2 | 6 | -5 | 0.226 | NT | ||
B | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0.226 | NT | |
2 | 6 | -1 | 0.500 | NT | ||
C | 1 | 6 | -9 | 0.066 | NT | |
2 | 6 | -3 | 0.354 | NT | ||
Salmonella (56 to 86 CFU/mL initial inoculum) | A | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0.066 | NT |
2 | 6 | -3 | 0.354 | NT | ||
B | 1 | 6 | -9 | 0.066 | NT | |
2 | 6 | 1 | 0.500 | NT | ||
C | 1 | 6 | -11 | 0.030 | ↘ | |
2 | 6 | -12 | 0.018 | ↘ | ||
Salmonella (3,700 to 6,200 CFU/mL initial inoculum) | A | 1 | 6 | -11 | 0.030 | ↘ |
2 | 6 | -7 | 0.130 | NT | ||
B | 1 | 6 | -12 | 0.018 | ↘ | |
2 | 6 | -15 | 0.004 | ↘ | ||
C | 1 | 6 | -9 | 0.066 | NT | |
2 | 6 | -15 | 0.004 | ↘ |
Notes: Lot = bottle of raw milk; A, B, and C were bottles from the same day of production; Replicate = duplicate analyses from each lot of raw milk; n = number of observations in each time series; S = Mann-Kendall test statistic; p-values less than 0.05 shown in bold font indicating a statistically significant increasing or decreasing trend conclusion; Down arrows = Evidence of a statistically significant decreasing trend; + = Evidence of a statistically significant increasing trend; NT = no trend observed.