Table 1:
Estimates of the global stroke burden, 2020 and 2050, by World Bank income group
| Deaths per 100 000 person-years (95% UI) | Millions of deaths (95% UI) | DALYS per 100 000 person-years (95% UI) | Millions of DALYs (95% UI) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2050 | 2020 | 2050 | 2020 | 2050 | 2020 | 2050 | |
| Global | ||||||||
| Overall | 84·89 (77·14–91·57) | 105·18 (87·28–125·75) | 6·62 (6·02–7·14) | 9·72 (8·07–11·62) | 1856·63 (1716·88–2010·86) | 2048·32 (1750·41–2432·64) | 144·84 (133·94–156·88) | 189·36 (161·82–224·88) |
| Overall (age-standardised) | 83·00 (75·32–89·61) | 54·31 (44·39–66·34) | ·· | ·· | 1747·70 (1612·34–1892·47) | 1229·16 (1029·90–1477·44) | ·· | ·· |
| <60 years* | 13·31 (12·10–14·47) | 9·93 (7·16–13·65) | 1·00 (0·91–1·09) | 0·98 (0·71–1·34) | 700·94 (638·28–767·75) | 649·85 (511·34–825·96) | 47·24 (43·01–51·54) | 46·40 (36·51–58·98) |
| ≥60 years* | 565·65 (508·59–613·37) | 361·69 (299·07–431·89) | 5·62 (5·08–6·09) | 8·75 (7·29–10·37) | 9184·71 (8392·76–9959·58) | 6795·05 (5890·94–7887·75) | 97·61 (89·20–105·85) | 142·95 (123·93–165·94) |
| High-income countries | ||||||||
| Overall | 75·97 (64·96–83·79) | 73·80 (60·26–85·93) | 0·92 (0·79–1·02) | 0·91 (0·74–1·06) | 1316·64 (1181·93–1435·60) | 1260·12 (1075·75–1438·24) | 15·95 (14·32–17·39) | 15·56 (13·28–17·76) |
| Overall (age-standardised) | 33·65 (29·10–36·88) | 18·86 (15·71–22·24) | ·· | ·· | 699·00 (629·87–761·14) | 488·27 (415·02–570·08) | ·· | ·· |
| <60 years* | 4·20 (3·92–4·48) | 3·15 (2·46–4·13) | 0·06 (0·05–0·06) | 0·04 (0·03–0·05) | 248·23 (224·59–275·23) | 200·28 (166·50–245·64) | 3·22 (2·93–3·55) | 2·43 (2·04–2·97) |
| ≥60 years* | 237·65 (203·36–262·05 | 127·68 (104·70–148·94) | 0·86 (0·73–0·95) | 0·87 (0·71–1·01) | 3820·45 (3413·56–4172·29) | 2482·53 (2125·54–2827·26) | 12·74 (11·27–13·95) | 13·12 (11·18–14·84) |
| Low-income and middle-income countries | ||||||||
| Overall | 86·50 (78·04 –93·82) | 109·95 (90·71–132·50) | 5·70 (5·14–6·18) | 8·81 (7·27–10·61) | 1954·66 (1798·69–2120·66) | 2168·44 (1832·77–2593·39) | 128·81 (118·53–139·75) | 173·68 (146·80–207·72) |
| Overall (age-standardised) | 105·82 (95·25–115·00) | 64·00 (52·48–77·90) | ·· | ·· | 2131·91 (1964·62–2315·49) | 1391·95 (1161·26–1678·44) | ·· | ·· |
| <60 years* | 15·37 (13·89–16·78) | 10·95 (7·88–15·15) | 0·94 (0·85–1·03) | 0·93 (0·67–1·29) | 754·92 (684·66–824·59) | 533·28 (414·75–682·72) | 43·98 (39·89–48·04) | 43·93 (34·29–56·03) |
| ≥60 years* | 732·10 (658·72–798·25) | 431·31 (358·28–514·82) | 4·76 (4·28–5·18) | 7·87 (6·53–9·37) | 11 896·98 (10 830·18–12 957·13) | 7337·88 (6301·95–8588·15) | 84·83 (77·36–92·39) | 129·75 (111·89–151·42) |
Global stroke deaths and DALYs (both absolute counts and rates per 100 000 person-years) are shown. DALYs=disability-adjusted life-years. 95% UI=95% uncertainty interval.
*
Rates per 100 000 person-years are age-standardised, whereas absolute counts are not.