Table 3:
Estimates of disability due to stroke, 2020 and 2050, by Global Burden of Disease super-region
| DALYs per 100 000 person-years (95% UI) | Millions of DALYs (95% UI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2050 | 2020 | 2050 | |
| Southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania | ||||
| Overall | 3098·72 (2698·22–3503·00) | 4133·29 (3505·36–4851·04) | 87·98 (74·61–103·26) | 67·10 (58·43–75·85) |
| Overall (age-standardised) | 2531·07 (2210·74–2852·43) | 1760·79 (1481·49–2070·58) | ·· | ·· |
| <60 years* | 800·34 (695·10–911·04) | 616·17 (486·88–760·68) | 20·14 (17·56–22·99) | 13·93 (11·08–17·13) |
| ≥60 years* | 14 515·87 (12 576·37–16 386·97) | 9686·91 (8255·21–11 348·06) | 46·95 (40·65–53·10) | 74·06 (62·82–86·76) |
| Central Europe, eastern Europe, and central Asia | ||||
| Overall | 3415·23 (3075·35–3742·91) | 2844·59 (2435·30–3283·44) | 14·27 (12·85–15·64) | 11·35 (9·72–13·10) |
| Overall (age-standardised) | 2292·02 (2064·62–2511·35) | 1384·40 (1148·25–1660·84) | ·· | ·· |
| <60 years* | 739·83 (655·81–829·48) | 548·22 (401·81–739·17) | 3·35 (2·98–3·76) | 2·15 (1·59–2·86) |
| ≥60 years* | 13 040·44 (11771·67–14273·44) | 7174·71 (6260·53–8178·47) | 10·92 (9·86–11·94) | 9·20 (8·09–10·40) |
| High-income | ||||
| Overall | 1261·84 (1129·63–1375·59) | 1150·90 (976·25–1300·84) | 13·72 (12·28–14·96) | 12·89 (10·93–14·57) |
| Overall (age-standardised) | 644·58 (578·00–706·37) | 440·32 (375·18–507·88) | ·· | ·· |
| <60 years* | 220·88 (199·20–247·14) | 181·82 (150·95–222·68) | 2·54 (2·30–2·83) | 1·99 (1·67–2·41) |
| ≥60 years* | 3578·56 (3178·25–3923·08) | 2230·38 (1893·56–2519·85) | 11·17 (9·89–12·27) | 10·89 (9·31–12·32) |
| Latin America and Caribbean | ||||
| Overall | 1069·91 (951·33–1166·16) | 1193·46 (958·46–1511·55) | 6·29 (5·69–6·96) | 8·05 (6·47–10·20) |
| Overall (age-standardised) | 1053·01 (951·34–1166·16) | 687·61 (539·05–900·33) | ·· | ·· |
| <60 years* | 432·15 (383·19–484·38) | 319·56 (231·30–460·02) | 2·40 (2·13–2·69) | 2·26 (1·66–3·20) |
| ≥60 years* | 5352·31 (4787·79–5951·93) | 3236·32 (2639·65–4016·78) | 3·89 (3·49–4·32) | 5·79 (4·71–7·09) |
| North Africa and Middle East | ||||
| Overall | 1313·40 (1159·24–1476·81) | 1653·14 (1294·32–2154·86) | 8·10 (7·15–9·10) | 13·42 (10·51–17·50) |
| Overall (age-standardised) | 1807·75 (1596·44–2017·88) | 1154·33 (895·49–1521·04) | ·· | ·· |
| <60 years* | 666·19 (561·98–781·43) | 501·50 (358·19–710·24) | 3·60 (3·03–4·23) | 4·11 (2·95–5·78) |
| ≥60 years* | 9712·70 (8694·54–10 725·79) | 5674·98 (4573·65–7234·60) | 4·50 (4·02–4·93) | 9·31 (7·45–11·96) |
| Sub-Saharan Africa | ||||
| Overall | 998·46 (865·76–1138·49) | 1009·79 (831·57–1229·82) | 11·04 (9·57–12·59) | 20·51 (16·89–24·98) |
| Overall (age-standardised) | 2187·52 (1927·11–2473·86) | 1367·36 (1151·33–1606·96) | ·· | ·· |
| <60 years* | 788·34 (666·08–924·39) | 533·78 (407·41–709·48) | 5·39 (4·56–6·33) | 9·07 (6·90–12·08) |
| ≥60 years* | 11 876·43 (10 522·85–13 271·60) | 6576·47 (5670·19–7498·59) | 5·64 (4·99–6·31) | 11·43 (9·86–13·04) |
| South Asia | ||||
| Overall | 1336·09 (1174·54–1547·30) | 1690·59 (1338·26–2175·00) | 24·33 (21·40–28·18) | 35·16 (27·82–45·23) |
| Overall (age-standardised) | 1674·76 (1467·14–1945·97) | 1100·40 (865·51–1425·27) | ·· | ·· |
| <60 years* | 649·37 (562·23–758·80) | 515·61 (379·82–711·18) | 9·80 (8·50–11·43) | 12·89 (9·50–17·72) |
| ≥60 years* | 8775·28 (7640·72–10 189·38) | 5149·84 (4149·83–6403·86) | 14·53 (12·65–16·89) | 22·26 (17·97–27·69) |
Data are absolute counts of DALYs and rates per 100 000 person-years. DALYs=disability-adjusted life-years. 95% UI=95% uncertainty interval.
*
Rates per 100 000 person-years are age-standardised, whereas absolute counts are not.