Table 4:
Estimates of global burden of death and disability, 2020 and 2050, by stroke type
| Age-standardised deaths per 100 000 person-years (95% UI) | Millions of deaths (95% UI) | Age-standardised DALYs per 100 000 person-years (95% UI) | Millions of DALYs (95% UI) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2050 | 2020 | 2050 | 2020 | 2050 | 2020 | 2050 | |
| Ischaemic stroke | ||||||||
| Overall | 42·62 (38·23–46·20) | 20·50 (16·81–24·68) | 3·31 (2·98–3·58) | 4·00 (3·29–4·75) | 786·92 (706·13–864·10) | 452·26 (376·72–535·54) | 64·11 (57·47–70·40) | 76·33 (64·25–89·78) |
| <60 years | 2·45 (2·17–2·74) | 1·16 (0·77–1·72) | 0·18 (0·16–0·21) | 0·11 (0·08–0·17) | 153·88 (132·32–176·66) | 101·42 (78·77–127·76) | 11·42 (9·81–13·09) | 9·42 (7·33–11·81) |
| ≥60 years | 320·77 (286·71–347·95) | 154·46 (127·28–184·80) | 3·12 (2·81–3·38) | 3·87 (3·21–4·60) | 5170·52 (4665·88–5662·86) | 2881·74 (2423·50–3389·98) | 52·70 (47·57–57·67) | 66·91 (56·56–78·28) |
| Intracerebral haemorrhage | ||||||||
| Overall | 35·75 (32·20–38·85) | 29·78 (35·70–34·29) | 2·93 (2·65–3·19) | 5·10 (4·42–5·78) | 824·99 (756·20–895·45) | 656·14 (551·13–778·87) | 69·40 (63·54–75·35) | 96·90 (82·66–113·95) |
| <60 years | 10·08 (9·06–10·97) | 9·86 (7·78–12·53) | 0·68 (0·61–0·74) | 0·70 (0·56–0·89) | 393·75 (355·16–430·37) | 308·55 (241·47–397·86) | 29·25 (26·41–31·99) | 29·57 (23·32–37·67) |
| ≥60 years | 212·06 (189·37–230·59) | 208·80 (181·83–235·46) | 2·25 (2·01–2·45) | 4·39 (3·82–4·95) | 3811·23 (3462·76–4133·93) | 3063·13 (2636·05–3545·24) | 40·15 (36·52–43·54) | 67·32 (58·24–77·27) |
| Subarachnoid haemorrhage | ||||||||
| Overall | 4·63 (4·07–5·15) | 4·09 (2·87–5·68) | 0·38 (0·33–0·42) | 0·65 (0·47–0·89) | 135·79 (119·63–153·19) | 120·75 (81·48–172·88) | 11·33 (9·96–12·78) | 16·12 (11·19–22·66) |
| <60 years | 1·81 (1·55–2·17) | 1·63 (1·03–2·46) | 0·13 (0·11–0·16) | 0·16 (0·10–0·23) | 90·00 (77·50–106·87) | 80·32 (50·56–118·35) | 6·57 (5·66–7·78) | 7·41 (4·69–10·86) |
| ≥60 years | 24·16 (20·90–26·72) | 21·15 (15·03–29·17) | 0·25 (0·21–0·27) | 0·49 (0·35–0·68) | 452·89 (400·11–499·95) | 400·71 (280·68–555·91) | 4·76 (4·20–5·26) | 8·71 (6·18–12·03) |
Deaths and DALYs (both absolute counts and rates per 100 000 person-years) by stroke type are shown. DALYs=disability-adjusted life-years. 95% UI=95% uncertainty interval.