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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2024 Nov 18.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet. 2023 Oct 19;402(10415):1857–1865. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(23)01517-9

Table 2.

Total gestational weight change classified according to the 2009 National Academy of Medicine recommendations and the association with cardiovascular and diabetes mortality (n=46,042).

Weight Change by 2009 NAM Recommendation
Below Within Above
Pre-pregnancy BMI Status Cardiovascular Disease Mortality
< 18·5 kg/m2
Mortality rate per 1000 person years (95% CI)b 1·8 (1·6, 2·0) 1·2 (1·0, 1·5) 1·9 (1·2, 2·9)
Unadjusted HR (95% CI) 1·34 (1·00, 1·79) 1 (Reference) 1·73 (1·01, 2·97)
Adjusted HR (95% CI)c 1·18 (0·89, 1·58) 1 (Reference) 1·84 (1·08, 3·12)
18·5 – 24·9 kg/m2
Mortality rate per 1000 person years (95% CI)b 2·0 (1·9, 2·1) 2·1 (1·9, 2·2) 2·5 (2·2, 2·8)
Unadjusted HR (95% CI) 1·01 (0·92, 1·11) 1 (Reference) 1·22 (1·06, 1·41)
Adjusted HR (95% CI)c 0·93 (0·84, 1·02) 1 (Reference) 1·20 (1·04, 1·37)
25·0 – 29·9 kg/m2
Mortality rate per 1000 person years (95% CI)b 3·8 (3·5, 4·2) 3·4 (3·1, 3·7) 3·4 (3·1, 3·8)
Unadjusted HR (95% CI) 1·16 (1·01, 1·34) 1 (Reference) 1·03 (0·88, 1·22)
Adjusted HR (95% CI)c 1·08 (0·94, 1·26) 1 (Reference) 1·12 (0·94, 1·33)
≥ 30·0 kg/m2
Mortality rate per 1000 person years (95% CI)b 5·9 (5·2, 6·5) 5·2 (4·4, 6·0) 5·2 (4·6, 6·0)
Unadjusted HR (95% CI) 1·23 (0·99, 1·52) 1 (Reference) 1·05 (0·85, 1·30)
Adjusted HR (95% CI)c 1·12 (0·90, 1·40) 1 (Reference) 1·08 (0·86, 1·34)
Pre-pregnancy BMI Status Diabetes Mortality
< 18·5 kg/m2
Mortality rate per 1000 person years (95% CI)b 0·2 (0·1, 0·2) 0·3 (0·2, 0·4) 0·2 (0·0, 0·7)
Unadjusted HR (95% CI) 0·87 (0·36, 2·08) 1 (Reference) 0·73 (0·10, 5·12)
Adjusted HR (95% CI)c 0·68 (0·25, 1·89) 1 (Reference) 0·90 (0·13, 6·35)
18·5 – 24·9 kg/m2
Mortality rate per 1000 person years (95% CI)b 0·3 (0·2, 0·3) 0·3 (0·3, 0·4) 0·4 (0·3, 0·5)
Unadjusted HR (95% CI) 0·74 (0·58, 0·93) 1 (Reference) 0·99 (0·63, 1·56)
Adjusted HR (95% CI)c 0·62 (0·48, 0·79) 1 (Reference) 0·95 (0·61, 1·47)
25·0 – 29·9 kg/m2
Mortality rate per 1000 person years (95% CI)b 0·6 (0·5, 0·7) 0·5 (0·4, 0·6) 0·9 (0·7, 1·1)
Unadjusted HR (95% CI) 1·07 (0·72, 1·59) 1 (Reference) 1·69 (1·19, 2·40)
Adjusted HR (95% CI)c 0·97 (0·64, 1·48) 1 (Reference) 1·77 (1·23, 2·54)
≥ 30·0 kg/m2
Mortality rate per 1000 person years (95% CI)b 1·4 (1·1, 1·7) 1·5 (1·1, 2·0) 1·4 (1·1, 1·8)
Unadjusted HR (95% CI) 0·86 (0·59, 1·25) 1 (Reference) 0·86 (0·58, 1·27)
Adjusted HR (95% CI)c 0·76 (0·51, 1·13) 1 (Reference) 0·83 (0·55, 1·27)

Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; National Academy of Medicine, NAM.

a

Recommendations for total gestational weight gain (2009): Pre-pregnancy BMI <18·5 kg/m2 (12·5–18·0 kg); 18·5–24·9 kg/m2 (11·5–16·0 kg); 25·0–29·9 kg/m2 (7·0–11·5 kg); ≥ 30·0 kg/m2 (5·0–9·0 kg).

b

Mortality rate estimated obtained from a single imputed dataset.

c

Analyses adjusted for the following index pregnancy variables: age, smoking, race/ethnicity, parity, marital status, income, education, preexisting diabetes, preexisting cardiovascular conditions, preexisting cancer/tumors, preexisting neurological conditions, preexisting renal conditions, preexisting respiratory conditions, prior pregnancy loss, site, study year, pre-pregnancy body mass index, gestational week at delivery.