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. 2023 Dec 15;13(1):187. doi: 10.1038/s41408-023-00960-1

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© The Author(s) 2023

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Fig. 3 — Transition probabilities are defined as the probability of going from a given state to the next state in a Markov process. Panel A reports the direct (i.e., from PV diagnosis) and after thrombosis probability to evolve into overt MF or BP. In panel B are illustrated the direct and indirect (via thrombosis, evolution in MF or BP) transition probabilities to death (absorbing state) over time.