Table 3. Association between body mass index trajectories and all-cause mortality.
Male aged over 60 | Death, number of death/ number of participants % | Model 1a | Model 2b | ||
HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | ||
Obesity, stable | 324/549, 59% | 1.14* | 1.01, 1.28 | 1.26*** | 1.12, 1.42 |
Overweight, stable | 1544/2958, 52% | 0.93* | 0.87, 0.99 | 0.98 | 0.91, 1.04 |
Mid-normal weight, stable | 1947/3582, 54% | 1 | referent | 1 | referent |
low-normal weight, stable | 683/1057, 65% | 1.31*** | 1.20, 1.43 | 1.21*** | 1.11, 1.32 |
Male aged 40–60 | Death, number of death/ number of participants % | Model 1a | Model 2b | ||
HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | ||
Obesity, increasing | 298/1983, 15% | 1.46*** | 1.29, 1.65 | 1.40*** | 1.24, 1.58 |
Overweight, increasing | 1255/10557, 12% | 1.11** | 1.03, 1.20 | 1.11** | 1.04, 1.20 |
Mid-normal weight, increasing | 1754/10357, 17% | 1 | referent | 1 | referent |
low-normal weight, increasing | 680/4943, 14% | 1.30*** | 1.19, 1.42 | 1.21*** | 1.11, 1.32 |
Female aged over 60 | Death, number of death/ number of participants % | Model 1a | Model 2b | ||
HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | ||
Obesity, stable | 180/417, 43% | 1.16 | 0.99, 1.35 | 1.24** | 1.06, 1.45 |
Overweight, stable | 867/2089, 42% | 1.10** | 1.01, 1.20 | 1.02 | 0.93, 1.11 |
Mid-normal weight, stable | 1455/3785, 38% | 1 | referent | 1 | referent |
Low-normal weight, decreasing | 598/1330, 45% | 1.24*** | 1.13, 1.37 | 1.15** | 1.04, 1.26 |
Female aged 40–60 | Death, number of death/ number of participants % | Model 1a | Model 2b | ||
HR | 95% CI | HR | 95% CI | ||
Obesity, increasing | 170/1710, 10% | 1.53*** | 1.30, 1.80 | 1.33** | 1.14, 1.57 |
Overweight, increasing | 760/8641, 9% | 1.32*** | 1.21, 1.45 | 1.16** | 1.06, 1.27 |
Mid-normal weight, increasing | 1232/18273, 7% | 1 | referent | 1 | referent |
Low-normal weight, increasing | 701/11711, 6% | 0.88** | 0.80, 0.96 | 1.05 | 0.96, 1.15 |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HR, Hazard ratio.
*p<0.05,
**p<0.01,
***p<0.0001.
a Unadjusted model.
b Fully adjusted model: adjusted for age, education level, smoking status, alcohol consumption and physical activity.