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. 2023 Dec 20;18(12):e0295919. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0295919

Table 3. Association between body mass index trajectories and all-cause mortality.

Male aged over 60 Death, number of death/ number of participants % Model 1a Model 2b
HR 95% CI HR 95% CI
Obesity, stable 324/549, 59% 1.14* 1.01, 1.28 1.26*** 1.12, 1.42
Overweight, stable 1544/2958, 52% 0.93* 0.87, 0.99 0.98 0.91, 1.04
Mid-normal weight, stable 1947/3582, 54% 1 referent 1 referent
low-normal weight, stable 683/1057, 65% 1.31*** 1.20, 1.43 1.21*** 1.11, 1.32
Male aged 40–60 Death, number of death/ number of participants % Model 1a Model 2b
HR 95% CI HR 95% CI
Obesity, increasing 298/1983, 15% 1.46*** 1.29, 1.65 1.40*** 1.24, 1.58
Overweight, increasing 1255/10557, 12% 1.11** 1.03, 1.20 1.11** 1.04, 1.20
Mid-normal weight, increasing 1754/10357, 17% 1 referent 1 referent
low-normal weight, increasing 680/4943, 14% 1.30*** 1.19, 1.42 1.21*** 1.11, 1.32
Female aged over 60 Death, number of death/ number of participants % Model 1a Model 2b
HR 95% CI HR 95% CI
Obesity, stable 180/417, 43% 1.16 0.99, 1.35 1.24** 1.06, 1.45
Overweight, stable 867/2089, 42% 1.10** 1.01, 1.20 1.02 0.93, 1.11
Mid-normal weight, stable 1455/3785, 38% 1 referent 1 referent
Low-normal weight, decreasing 598/1330, 45% 1.24*** 1.13, 1.37 1.15** 1.04, 1.26
Female aged 40–60 Death, number of death/ number of participants % Model 1a Model 2b
HR 95% CI HR 95% CI
Obesity, increasing 170/1710, 10% 1.53*** 1.30, 1.80 1.33** 1.14, 1.57
Overweight, increasing 760/8641, 9% 1.32*** 1.21, 1.45 1.16** 1.06, 1.27
Mid-normal weight, increasing 1232/18273, 7% 1 referent 1 referent
Low-normal weight, increasing 701/11711, 6% 0.88** 0.80, 0.96 1.05 0.96, 1.15

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HR, Hazard ratio.

*p<0.05,

**p<0.01,

***p<0.0001.

a Unadjusted model.

b Fully adjusted model: adjusted for age, education level, smoking status, alcohol consumption and physical activity.