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. 2023 Dec;50:101534. doi: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101534

Table 2.

Common calibration and verification statistics for the 20 reconstruction models produced. lm = linear model, NEG = negative predictor, DW = Durbin-Watson test, 1921–60 diff. = mean difference against the instrumental flow data. The LH model used for the final reconstruction is underlined.

SH 1961–2011
# of preds. Adj. r2 DW 1921–60 r2 1921–60 diff.
1 (lm) 0.484 * (1.324) 0.592 + 37.652
2 0.551 ns (1.534) 0.560 + 42.039
3 0.589 ns (1.724) 0.649 + 34.681
n 0.644 ns (1.934) 0.687 + 26.417
n + NEG 0.615 ns (1.876) 0.434 + 31.014
SL
# of preds. Adj. r2 DW 1921–60 r2 1921–60 diff.
1 (lm) 0.484 * (1.325) 0.593 + 37.581
2 0.552 ns (1.535) 0.561 + 41.980
3 0.588 ns (1.772) 0.654 + 34.195
n 0.700 ns (1.789) 0.663 + 30.592
n + NEG 0.615 ns (1.876) 0.434 + 31.014
LL 1921–2011
# of preds. Adj. r2 DW 1921–60 r2 1921–60 diff.
1 (lm) 0.233 * ** (1.044) 0.363 + 11.210
2 0.233 * ** (1.044) 0.363 + 11.210
3 0.412 * * (1.370) 0.506 + 7.390
n 0.441 * * (1.447) 0.523 + 6.374
n + NEG 0.454 * * (1.493) 0.529 + 6.865
LH
# of preds. Adj. r2 DW 1921–60 r2 1921–60 diff.
1 (lm) 0.230 * ** (1.044) 0.357 + 11.171
2 0.230 * ** (1.044) 0.357 + 11.171
3 0.399 * * (1.367) 0.483 + 7.245
n 0.512 ns (1.674) 0.640 + 6.905
n + NEG 0.507 * (1.595) 0.644 + 6.954