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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Dec 26.
Published in final edited form as: Nat Mach Intell. 2022 Dec 1;4(12):1121–1129. doi: 10.1038/s42256-022-00563-8

Extended Table 5.

Model performance (AUC) of the original and extended VA models at the hospitalization level at VA and UM, by outcome stage, by sex

Outcome VA Test AUC(95% Cl) UM Test AUC(95% Cl)
All Female Male All Female Male
AKI-1+
Incidence 10.30%(5,158/50,031) 5.61 %(164/2,925) 10.60%(4,994/47,106) 16.10%(15,924/98,887) 13.94%(6,848/49,112) 18.23%(9,076/49,775)
Original VA model 0.7729(0.7664, 0.7794) 0.7700(0.7344, 0.8056) 0.7708(0.7642, 0.7774) 0.7227(0.7185, 0.727) 0.7231(0.7166, 0.7295) 0.7162(0.7104, 0.7220)
Extended VA model 0.7710(0.7645, 0.7775) 0.7643(0.7281, 0.8004) 0.7690(0.7623, 0.7756) 0.7393(0.7351, 0.7435) 0.7419(0.7356, 0.7482) 0.7311(0.7254, 0.7368)
AKI-2+
Incidence 1,50%(818/54,412) 1,04%(32/3,069) 1,53%(786/51,343) 3.91 %(3,874/99,149) 3.57%(1,758/49,228) 4.24%(2,116/49,921)
Original VA model 0.7708(0.7550, 0.7866) 0.8195(0.7478, 0.8912) 0.7689(0.7528, 0.7850) 0.6871(0.6786, 0.6956) 0.6705(0.6579, 0.6831) 0.7010(0.6896, 0.7125)
Extended VA model 0.7512(0.7354, 0.7671) 0.7965(0.7240, 0.8691) 0.7492(0.7330, 0.7654) 0.7665(0.7585, 0.7746) 0.7444(0.7321, 0.7566) 0.7853(0.7748, 0.7959)
AKI-3+
Incidence 0.83%(457/54,989) 0.71 %(22/3,100) 0.84%(435/51,889) 1.76%(1,745/99,199) 1,50%(737/49,258) 2.02%(1,008/49,941)
Original VA model 0.8215(0.8023, 0.8406) 0.8093(0.7136, 0.9050) 0.8223(0.8028, 0.8419) 0.7668(0.7541, 0.7795) 0.7128(0.6924, 0.7332) 0.8055(0.7898, 0.8213)
Extended VA model 0.8159(0.7962, 0.8356) 0.7913(0.6944, 0.8883) 0.8171(0.7970, 0.8373) 0.8287(0.8173, 0.8401) 0.7832(0.7642, 0.8022) 0.8613(0.8476, 0.8750)
AKI-3D
Incidence 0.29%(163/55,745) 0.29%(9/3,119) 0.29%(154/52,626) 0.23%(225/99,235) 0.19%(96/49,276) 0.26%(129/49,959)
Original VA model 0.9577(0.9448, 0.9706) 0.9227(0.7766, 1.0) 0.9593(0.9490, 0.9697) 0.9675(0.9587, 0.9762) 0.9696(0.9589, 0.9803) 0.9662(0.9526, 0.9799)
Extended VA model 0.9455(0.9259, 0.9651) 0.9231(0.7788, 1.0) 0.9464(0.9275, 0.9653) 0.9651(0.9561, 0.9741) 0.9669(0.9555, 0.9784) 0.9636(0.9439, 0.9774)