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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2025 Jan 1.
Published in final edited form as: Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol. 2023 Nov 21;44(1):24–47. doi: 10.1161/ATVBAHA.123.320138

Table 4:

Population-based studies of the association of n Thoracic Aortic Calcium and Cardiovascular Outcomes

Study [ref] Country, Year of Publication Population (% men, mean age) Follow-up (years) Outcome (number of events) Measurement Adjusted HR (95% CI)* Race/ethnicity & comments
MESA151 USA 2015 5,903 (47%, 6y2) 10.3 CHD events (348)
CHD mortality (65)
Presence as part of extra-coronary calcium score; no aortic arch 2.04 (1.5, 2.7)
2.66 (1.3, 5.7)
41.4% White, 11.8% Chinese American, 25.9% African American, 20.8% Hispanic
Nondiabetics
HNR152 Germany 2016 3,630 (46%,
59y)
9.9 CV events (241) Presence; no aortic arch 1.30 (0.95, 1.8) NR
San Diego73 USA 2011 4,5y44 (57%, 57y) 7.8 CV events
(40)
Presence; with aortic arch 3.01 (0.8, 10.9)
NR
MESA84 USA 2011 6,807 (47%, 62y) 4.5 CHD events (132)
All CHD (232)
Agatston; no aortic arch Women: 2.42 (1.03, 5.6); Men: 1.34 (0.8, 2.2)
Women: 3.04 (1.6, 5.8); Men: 1.26 (0.9, 1.8)
38.2% White, 11.8% Chinese American, 27.9% African American, 22% Hispanic
FHS64 USA 2016 3,486 (49%, 50y) 8 CHD events (59)
CV events (107)
Agatston; no aortic arch 1.40 (1.1, 1.8)
1.18 (0.98, 1.
NR
EISNER86 USA 2009 2,303 (62%, 56y) 4.4 CHD events (16)
All CHD (41)
CV events (47)
Agatston; no aortic arch 1.20 (0.99, 1.4)
1.20 (1.04, 1.3)
1.1 (1.02, 1.3)
NR
MESA153 USA 2017 3,415 (37%, 56y) 11.3 CHD events (74)
CV events (137)
Agatston; no aortic arch 0.94 (0.8, 1.1)
1.04 (0.9, 1.2)
33% White, 11.7% Chinese American, 31.4% African American, 24% Hispanic
No baseline CAC
CAC Consortium75 USA 2021 30,630 (64%, 55y) 11.2 CV events
(345)
Agatston tertiles; no aortic arch 4.23 (3.11, 5.76)^ NR
NLST154 USA 2019 5,718 (62%, 62y) 2.7 CV events
(663)
Agatston categories (highest level shown); with aortic arch Men: 2.47 (1.75, 3.49)
Women: 1.85 (1.05, 3.26)
91% White, 4.3% Black, 4.4% Other
All participants had ≥ 30 pack-years and were active smokers
Nested case-control study
San Diego73 USA 2011 4,544 (57%, 57y) 7.8 CVD
(40)
Volume; entire aorta 1.45 (0.9, 2.3) NR
Rotterdam82 Netherlands 2015 2,408 (48%,
70y)
8 CVD
(84)
Agatston quartiles; only the aortic arch 12.73 (1.6, 99.5) NR

TAC indicates thoracic aortic calcification; NR, not reported (race/ethnicity); MESA, Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis; USA, United States of America; CHD, coronary heart disease; CV, cardiovascular disease; CVE, cardiovascular disease events; HNR, Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study; FHS, Framingham Heart Study; EISNER, Early Identification of Subclinical Atherosclerosis by Non-invasive Imaging Research; CAC, coronary artery calcification; NSLT, National Lung Screening Trial; CT, computed tomography.

*

All adjusted hazard ratios presented were adjusted for traditional cardiovascular risk factors.

^

the hazard ratio was also adjusted for CAC score.