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. 2023 Dec 5;9(1):35–54. doi: 10.1038/s41564-023-01530-8

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© The Author(s) 2023

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 3 — a, Estimated trends of HIV prevalence and the proportion of census-eligible individuals in three age brackets that remain virally unsuppressed, defined as viral load above 1,000 copies per ml of plasma (posterior median: dots; 95% credible interval: error bars), combining data from participants and from first-time participants as proxy of non-participants. b, Male-to-female ratio of changes in population-level viral load suppression relative to survey round 10 (posterior median: dots; 95% credible interval: error bars). c, Estimated viral suppression rates by 1-year age band (x axis) and gender (colour) for survey round 18 (posterior median: dots; 95% credible interval: error bars). Throughout all subfigures, estimates are based on data from n = 38,749 participants including n = 3,265 participants with HIV and with measured viral load. First-time participants were used as proxies of individuals who did not participate in the survey.