Table 1.

Model input parameters: probabilities

Parameter	Base case value	Lower limit	Upper limit	Distribution	Source
Probabilities
Proportion of people experiencing abuse—all ages	0.055	0.038	0.106	Beta	Adjusted estimate*
Prevalence of DVA in adults (males and females)—aged 16–90+ years	0.055	0.036	0.073	Beta	14
Prevalence of children exposed to DVA	0.080	0.040	0.140	Beta	24
Starting distribution for those experiencing abuse—all ages
Abused and identified, seeing advocate	0.003	0	0.0066	Uniform	†
Abused and identified, not seeing advocate	0.033	0	0.0660	Uniform	†
Abused but not identified	0.964	–	–	Uniform	Complement
Transition probabilities—intervention and control
Not abused to abused but not identified	0.0037	0.0004	0.0106	Dirichlet	†
Not abused to dead	0.0052	0.0027	0.0087	Dirichlet	14
Stay in not abused	0.9911	–	–	Dirichlet	Complement
Abused and identified, seeing advocate to not abused	0.1408	0.0707	0.2301	Dirichlet	27
Abused and identified, seeing advocate to dead	0.0052	0.0000	0.0299	Dirichlet	14
Stay in Abused and identified, seeing advocate	0.8540	–	–	Dirichlet	Complement
Abused and identified, not seeing advocate to not abused	0.0781	0.0136	0.1912	Dirichlet	27
Abused and identified, not seeing advocate to dead	0.0052	0.0000	0.0424	Dirichlet	14
Stay in abused and identified, not seeing advocate	0.9167	–	–	Dirichlet	Complement
Transition probabilities—intervention
Abused but not identified to not abused	0.0500	0.0412	0.0596	Dirichlet	†
Abused but not identified to abused and identified, not seeing advocate	0.0374	0.0298	0.0458	Dirichlet	IRIS+ data
Abused but not identified to abused and identified, seeing advocate	0.0312	0.0243	0.0390	Dirichlet	IRIS+ data
Abused but not identified to dead	0.0055	0.0029	0.0091	Dirichlet	14
Stay in abused but not identified	0.8762	–	–	Dirichlet	Complement
Transition probabilities—control
Abused but not identified to not abused	0.0500	0.0412	0.0596	Dirichlet	†
Abused but not identified to abused and identified, not seeing advocate	0.0091	0.0055	0.0135	Dirichlet	IRIS data
Abused but not identified to abused and identified, seeing advocate	0.0226	0.0168	0.0293	Dirichlet	IRIS data
Abused but not identified to dead	0.0055	0.0029	0.0091	Dirichlet	14
Stay in abused but not identified	0.9131	–	–	Dirichlet	Complement

*Weighted average for adults and children.

†Internal calculation based on model calibration.

DVA, domestic violence/abuse; IRIS+, Identification and Referral to Improve Safety plus.