Table 3.
Twelve-year all-cause mortality Cox regression models.
| 12-year all-cause mortality | Multivariate Model Aa HR (95 %CI) P value | Multivariate Model Bb HR (95 %CI) P value | Multivariate Model Cc HR (95 %CI) P value | Multivariate Model Dd HR (95 %CI) P value | Multivariate Model Ee HR (95 %CI) P value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| ||||||
| Sex | Males vs. Females | 1.72 (1.36–2.20) |
1.45 (1.13–1.86) |
1.53 (1.17–1.98) |
1.49 (1.15–1.94) |
1.47 (1.13–1.91) |
|
|
|
<0.001 | 0.0035 | 0.0015 | 0.0027 | 0.004 |
| Age (years) | 55–59 vs. < 55 | 1.28 (0.87–1.88) | 1.18 (0.80–1.74) | 1.18 (0.80–1.73) | 1.18 (0.80–1.74) | 1.16 (0.79–1.72) |
| 0.21 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.4487 | ||
| 60–64 vs. < 55 | 2.41 (1.70–3.43) | 2.10 (1.47–2.99) | 1.94 (1.36–2.78) | 1.85 (1.29–2.66) | 1.79 (1.25–2.57) | |
| <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.0003 | 0.0008 | 0.0015 | ||
| ≥65 vs. < 55 | 5.47 (3.95–7.58) | 4.37 (3.12–6.12) | 3.67 (2.60–5.18) | 3.31 (2.34–4.68) | 3.13 (2.21–4.44) | |
| <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
| CAC score | 11–100 vs. 0–10 | 1.47 (1.09–1.97) | 1.43 (1.07–1.93) | 1.41 (1.05–1.90) | 1.42 (1.05–1.90) | |
| 0.0108 | 0.0175 | 0.0218 | 0.0215 | |||
| 101–400 vs. 0–10 | 1.79 (1.30–2.46) | 1.76 (1.28–2.43) | 1.70 (1.23–2.34) | 1.67 (1.21–2.30) | ||
| 0.0004 | 0.0005 | 0.0012 | 0.0017 | |||
| >400 vs. 0–10 | 2.36 (1.70–3.26) | 2.23 (1.61–3.09) | 2.17 (1.56–3.00) | 2.02 (1.46–2.81) | ||
| <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | |||
| Pack-years | 35–44 vs. < 35 | 1.38 (0.99–1.93) 0.0607 |
1.32 (0.95–1.85) 0.1 |
1.31 (0.94–1.83) 0.1163 |
||
| ≥45 vs. < 35 | 2.17 (1.60–2.94) <0.001 |
1.94 (1.43–2.64) <0.001 |
1.90 (1.40–2.59) <0.001 |
|||
| Smoking status | Current vs. Former smokers | 0.96 (0.70–1.31) | 0.89 (0.64–1.21) | 0.88 (0.64–1.20) | ||
| at baseline | 0.78 | 0.45 | 0.4145 | |||
| Smoking status | Current vs. Former smokers | 1.58 (1.20–2.08) | 1.64 (1.24–2.17) | 1.64 (1.24–2.16) | ||
| At the last follow-up | 0.0013 | 0.0005 | 0.0005 | |||
| BMI | Underweight vs. normal weight | 2.04 (1.10–3.80) 0.0245 |
2.05 (1.10–3.83) 0.0243 |
1.97 (1.05–3.70) 0.0336 |
||
| Overweight/obese vs. normal weight | 0.89 (0.71–1.10) 0.27 |
0.84 (0.67–1.05) 0.12 |
0.82 (0.66–1.02) 0.0746 |
|||
| CRP (mg/L) | >2 vs. <=2 | 1.50 (1.21 –1.85) 0.0002 |
1.49 (1.21–1.84) 0.0002 |
|||
| FEV1% | 90–70 vs. > 90 <70 vs. > 90 |
1.03 (0.81–1.31) 0.81 2.24 (1.69–2.98) <0.001 |
0.97 (0.76–1.23) 0.7829 2.04 (1.53–2.72) <0.001 |
|||
| Prior diseases | 1 vs 0 2 vs 0 3 vs 0 |
1.18 (0.93–1.49) 0.1742 1.67 (1.22–2.29) 0.0015 2.82 (1.60–4.96) 0.0003 |
||||
BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; CRP, C-reactive protein; FEV1%, percentage of forced expiratory volume in 1 s; HR, hazard ratio.
Model A included sex and age classes.
Model B included Model A variables and CAC score categories.
Model C included Model B variables and pack-years, smoking status at baseline, smoking status at the last follow-up, and BMI.
Model D included Model C variables and FEV1% and CRP.
Model E included Model D variables and prior diseases (cardiovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and diabetes).