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. 2024 Jan 17;7(1):e2351322. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.51322

Table 4. Multivariable Association of HbA1c Levels and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes by Race and Ethnicity.

Characteristic HR by race and ethnicity (95% CI)
Asian or Pacific Islander Black Hispanic White Other or unkowna
HbA1c, %
<5.5 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
5.5-5.6 2.8 (1.5-5.2) 1.3 (0.6-3.2) 1.4 (1.0-2.1) 1.7 (0.9-3.2) 1.4 (0.4-5.1)
5.7-5.8 4.7 (2.5-8.7) 2.0 (0.9-4.5) 2.0 (1.3-3.0) 4.6 (2.4-8.7) 2.1 (0.6-7.8)
5.9-6.0 12.4 (6.7-22.8) 7.9 (3.8-16.3) 7.4 (5.0-11.0) 15.1 (8.0-28.5) 7.2 (2.1-25.4)
6.1-6.2 25.6 (13.0-50.4) 16.1 (7.5-34.5) 22.0 (14.1-34.2) 42.0 (17.5-100.4) 35.7 (9.6-132.4)
6.3-6.4 155.2 (77.7-310.3) 21.5 (7.7-60.2) 49.2 (28.0-86.7) 146.0 (52.5-406.5) 143.9 (37.1-558.6)
Sex
Female 2.0 (1.5-2.7) 1.2 (0.8-1.8) 1.4 (1.1-1.8) 1.3 (0.9-2.1) 2.7 (1.2-6.4)
Male 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Age, y
10-11 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
12-14 0.8 (0.6-1.2) 0.8 (0.5-1.4) 1.2 (0.9-1.7) 0.8 (0.4-1.6) 1.8 (0.6-5.5)
15-17 1.3 (0.9-1.8) 1.2 (0.7-1.9) 2.3 (1.6-3.2) 1.7 (0.9-3.1) 2.8 (1.0-8.2)
BMI categoryb
Overweight 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
Moderate obesity 2.0 (1.2-3.4) 2.2 (0.6-7.6) 2.2 (1.2-3.9) 1.3 (0.6-2.8) 4.1 (0.9-19.6)
Severe obesity 4.0 (2.5-6.6) 7.8 (2.4-25.0) 6.3 (3.6-11.0) 4.1 (2.0-8.3) 7.0 (1.6-30.9)
NDI quartilec
1 (Least deprived) 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference]
2 0.9 (0.6-1.4) 0.7 (0.4-1.4) 0.7 (0.5-1.2) 1.9 (1.1-3.2) 0.6 (0.2-1.7)
3 1.5 (1.0-2.3) 0.8 (0.5-1.5) 1.0 (0.7-1.5) 1.8 (1.0-3.2) 0.9 (0.3-2.3)
4 (Most deprived) 1.5 (1.0-2.4) 0.8 (0.4-1.4) 1.1 (0.8-1.6) 1.3 (0.6-2.9) 0.5 (0.1-1.6)

Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared); HbA1c, hemoglobin A1c; HR, hazard ratio; NDI, Neighborhood Deprivation Index.

a

Includes American Indian or Alaska Native race, multiple races or ethnicities, and unknown race or ethnicity.

b

Defined as overweight (BMI 85th to <95th percentile), moderate obesity (BMI 100% to <120% of 95th percentile), and severe obesity (BMI ≥120% of 95th percentile).

c

Scores ranged from −2.1 to 4.4; higher scores represent greater estimated neighborhood deprivation. Scores were not available for 0.3% of children.