Table 4.
Predictive power of various models with different IR indices (Reference = TyG model)
| Base model | + TyG | + HOMA-IR | + QUICKI | + HOMA-beta | + Glucose | + Triglyceride | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C-index (95% CI) |
C-index (95% CI) |
P value | C-index (95% CI) |
P value | C-index (95% CI) |
P value | C-index (95% CI) |
P value | C-index (95% CI) |
P value | |
| All-cause mortality | |||||||||||
| Total | 0.80 (0.78–0.82) | 0.80 (0.78–0.82) | 0.477 | 0.80 (0.78–0.81) | 0.151 | 0.80 (0.78–0.81) | 0.302 |
0.80 (0.78–0.82) |
0.646 |
0.80 (0.78–0.82) |
0.356 |
| < 65 yrs | 0.76 (0.73–0.79) | 0.75 (0.72–0.79) | 0.204 | 0.75 (0.71–0.78) | 0.119 | 0.75 (0.71–0.78) | 0.073 |
0.76 (0.73–0.79) |
0.838 |
0.75 (0.72–0.79) |
0.021 |
| ≥ 65 yrs | 0.75 (0.73–0.77) | (0.75 (0.73–0.77) | 0.909 | 0.75 (0.73–0.77) | 0.726 | 0.75 (0.73–0.77) | 0.658 |
0.75 (0.73–0.77) |
0.972 |
0.75 (0.73–0.77) |
0.775 |
| Cardiovascular mortality | |||||||||||
| Total | 0.82 (0.78–0.85) | 0.82 (0.80–0.85) | 0.982 | 0.82 (0.80–0.85) | 0.911 | 0.82 (0.80–0.85) | 0.882 |
0.82 (0.80–0.85) |
0.816 |
0.82 (0.79–0.85) |
0.404 |
| < 65 yrs | 0.82 (0.76–0.88) | 0.82 (0.75–0.88) | 0.788 | 0.82 (0.75–0.88) | 0.736 | 0.81 (0.75–0.88) | 0.626 |
0.82 (0.77–0.88) |
0.496 |
0.81 (0.75–0.87) |
0.579 |
| ≥ 65 yrs | 0.77 (0.73–0.81) | 0.78 (0.74–0.81) | 0.298 | 0.78 (0.74–0.81) | 0.319 | 0.78 (0.74–0.81) | 0.472 |
0.77 (0.73–0.81) |
0.938 |
0.77 (0.73–0.81) |
0.802 |
| Cancer mortality | |||||||||||
| Total | 0.75 (0.71–0.79) | 0.75 (0.71–0.79) | 0.400 | 0.75 (0.71–0.79) | 0.837 | 0.75 (0.71–0.79) | 0.721 |
0.75 (0.71–0.79) |
0.563 |
0.75 (0.71–0.79) |
0.441 |
| < 65 yrs | 0.70 (0.62–0.78) | 0.70 (0.62–0.78) | 0.966 | 0.70 (0.62–0.77) | 0.793 | 0.69 (0.62–0.77) | 0.623 |
0.69 (0.62–0.77) |
0.831 |
0.71 (0.63–0.79) |
0.446 |
| ≥ 65 yrs | 0.64 (0.58–0.70) | 0.64 (0.58–0.71) | 0.933 | 0.65 (0.59–0.71) | 0.834 | 0.65 (0.58–0.71) | 0.854 |
0.65 (0.58–0.71) |
0.760 |
0.64 (0.58–0.70) |
0.949 |
| Non-cardiovascular mortality | |||||||||||
| Total | 0.79 (0.77–0.81) | 0.79 (0.77–0.81) | 0.160 | 0.79 (0.77–0.81) | 0.241 | 0.79 (0.77–0.81) | 0.275 |
0.79 (0.77–0.81) |
0.159 |
0.79 (0.77–0.81) |
0.389 |
| < 65 yrs | 0.75 (0.72–0.79) | 0.74 (0.70–0.78) | 0.598 | 0.74 (0.70–0.78) | 0.428 | 0.73 (0.69–0.77) | 0.177 |
0.73 (0.69–0.78) |
0.050 |
0.73 (0.70–0.77) |
0.043 |
| ≥ 65 yrs | 0.74 (0.72–0.77) | 0.74 (0.72–0.77) | 0.700 | 0.74 (0.72–0.77) | 0.602 | 0.74 (0.72–0.77) | 0.698 |
0.74 (0.72–0.77) |
0.643 |
0.74 (0.72–0.77) |
0.853 |
Base models included the covariates which were selected by the stepwise method in Model 3