Table 1:

Performance metrics with error reduction for the 1-day, 7-day and 14-day ahead tasks at the county level.

Model	RMSE			RRMSE(%)			Error Reduction
	1st day	7th day	14th day	1st day	7th day	14th day	1st day	7th day	14th day
Persistence	45.11±176.33	29.71±133.62	36.56±152.9	83.13±111.19	50.48±48.18	65.48±69.41	—	—	—
Autoregressive	44.43±209.3	49.15±9.68×104	65.91±3.17×109	81.57±95.71	83.87±3.18×104	103.16±8.72×108	1.01±1.13	1.5±702.98	1.54±1.12×107
GRU	18.62±101.65	19.23±106.35	23.75±118.99	33.26±24.04	34.45±25.11	43.61±25.27	0.49±0.3	0.68±0.4	0.7±0.33
LSTM	18.44±91..71	18.01±104.53	22.83±118.66	31.29±24.09	33.37±25.08	42.04±24.9	0.46±0.3	0.64±0.4	0.7±0.33
TC-LSTM	19.03±105.94	19.22±112.28	23.56±123.17	33.19±23.1	35.09±26.23	43.84±25.97	0.49±0.3	0.7±0.4	0.72±0.34
TC-biLSTM	10.47±59.91	12.96±80.49	23.66±115.85	17.08±20.25	23.03±30.25	44.33±37.06	0.25±0.24	0.43±0.51	0.73±0.4
biLSTM	6.53±34.9	8..29±62.98	20.51±98.42	9.83±18.41	14.28±34.5	40.01±34.98	0.15±0.22	0.25±0.54	0.66±0.4
FIGI-Net	4.34±26.44	5.98±61.22	19.79±100.08	6.98±17.73	9.92±37.31	39.73±34.99	0.1±0.22	0.17±0.57	0.65±0.42