Table 2:
Performance metrics with error reduction for the 1-day, 7-day and 14-day ahead tasks at the state Level.
| Model | RMSE | RRMSE(%) | Error Reduction | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st day | 7th day | 14th day | 1st day | 7th day | 14th day | 1st day | 7th day | 14th day | |
| Persistence | 3563.29±7636.32 | 2571.9±5409.64 | 3330.82±6072.91 | 92.03±29.74 | 64.74±21.38 | 79.85±15.76 | — | — | — |
| Autoregressive | 3856.01±8189.29 | 4023.77±1.26×106 | 5932.29±3.29×1010 | 92.47±28.45 | 107.09±1.61×104 | 160.23±4.82×108 | 1.03±0.32 | 1.62±217.8 | 2.23±5.72×106 |
| GRU | 1411.09±3827.44 | 1460.49±3947.68 | 1991.35±4503.38 | 43.29±16.38 | 43.51±15.36 | 56.06±14.06 | 0.53±0.19 | 0.71±0.18 | 0.67±0.12 |
| LSTM | 1332.83±3342.72 | 1782.58±3796.64 | 2028.5±4462.46 | 38.02±16.33 | 42.08±15.37 | 53±15.53 | 0.49±0.19 | 0.7±0.17 | 0.67±0.13 |
| TC-LSTM | 1311.08±4059.58 | 1947.45±4131.61 | 2021.77±4686.08 | 39.06±16.69 | 45.5±14.64 | 52.98±13.81 | 0.47±0.17 | 0.73±0.21 | 0.68±0.11 |
| TC-biLSTM | 550.36±1557.85 | 1338.63±2324.23 | 2225.14±4116.09 | 15.36±17.16 | 33.9±14.38 | 54.94±15.75 | 0.18±0.17 | 0.56±0.15 | 0.67±0.16 |
| biLSTM | 371±1047.57 | 1189.43±1806.38 | 1940.18±3216.91 | 12.44±15.04 | 28.9±14.01 | 49.46±17.18 | 0.13±0.15 | 0.46±0.18 | 0.63±0.22 |
| FIGI-Net | 290.31±908.81 | 1149.66±1850.66 | 1935.36±3458.21 | 9.17±13.59 | 26.94±14.48 | 49.12±16.47 | 0.11±0.13 | 0.46±0.15 | 0.61±0.21 |