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[Preprint]. 2024 Mar 25:2024.01.13.24301248. Originally published 2024 Jan 15. [Version 2] doi: 10.1101/2024.01.13.24301248

Table 3:

Performance metrics with error reduction for the 1-day, 7-day and 14-day ahead tasks at the national Level.

Model RMSE RRMSE(%) Error Reduction
1st day 7th day 14th day 1st day 7th day 14th day 1st day 7th day 14th day
Persistence 94151.72 71901.03 109661.49 51.93 39.65 60.48
Autoregressive 91127.52 1.334×108 8.8278×1011 50.26 73574.39 4.869×108 0.968 1855.33 8.05×106
GRU 41298.1 38823.91 57823.73 22.78 21.41 31.89 0.439 0.54 0.527
LSTM 32536.62 39022.06 60314.95 17.94 21.52 33.26 0.346 0.543 0.55
TC-LSTM 37139.2 41291.44 55759.71 20.48 22.77 30.75 0.394 0.574 0.508
TC-biLSTM 16426.44 35465.95 62286.61 9.06 19.56 34.35 0.174 0.493 0.568
biLSTM 13569.52 27533.97 51447.97 7.48 15.18 28.37 0.144 0.382 0.469
FIGI-Net 12726.38 28045.28 50654.95 7.02 15.47 27.94 0.135 0.39 0.462
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