Figure 3. Model results for overdose deaths and incarceration for fentanyl possession in Colorado over 5 years, assuming different levels of MOUD availability in prisons and diversion programs in the community.
Assuming an estimated population with opioid use disorder of 139,000, annual community-level MOUD uptake of 8% with an average 6-month duration, and a 13% annual arrest rate for drug possession.