Table 3.

Cumulative dynamic area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and average true positive and false positive rates [95% confidence intervals].

Outcome	Cumulative dynamic AUC			Mean TPR			Mean FPR

	1^st year	5^th year	10^th year	1^st year	5^th year	10^th year	1^st year	5^th year	10^th year
Intracranial hemorrhage	0.72 [0.60-0.86]	0.69 [0.64-0.76]	0.72 [0.59-0.80]	0.73 [0.60-0.86]	0.71 [0.65-0.78]	0.74 [0.63-0.80]	0.50 [0.50-0.51]	0.52 [0.51-0.53]	0.53 [0.49-0.59]
Ischemic stroke	0.63 [0.59-0.65]	0.66 [0.64-0.68]	0.64 [0.59-0.69]	0.62 [0.59-0.65]	0.64 [0.62-0.65]	0.62 [0.60-0.64]	0.50 [0.50-0.50]	0.48 [0.47-0.49]	0.49 [0.44-0.53]
Depression	0.62 [0.59-0.65]	0.62 [0.59-0.64]	0.62 [0.56-0.68]	0.57 [0.54-0.59]	0.55 [0.54-0.57]	0.53 [0.52-0.56]	0.48 [0.47-0.49]	0.46 [0.45-0.48]	0.44 [0.39-0.48]
Composite of dementia	0.74 [0.70-0.76]	0.72 [0.70-0.74]	0.69 [0.63-0.74]	0.74 [0.71-0.77]	0.76 [0.75-0.78]	0.77 [0.75-0.79]	0.51 [0.50-0.51]	0.55 [0.54-0.56]	0.59 [0.54-0.65]
Death	0.80 [0.77-0.83]	0.81 [0.79-0.83]	0.78 [0.73-0.84]	0.79 [0.76-0.82]	0.77 [0.76-0.79]	0.77 [0.73-0.80]	0.49 [0.49-0.50]	0.47 [0.46-0.48]	0.50 [0.45-0.55]

AUC – Area under the receiver operating characteristic. TPR – true positive rate; FPR – false positive rate.