Table 1.
Simulation scenarios’ outcomes/results for all camels.
| Output Description | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (No Control) | (No Movements) | (No Movements + Vaccination) | ||||
| Average Number of Farms | Average Number of Camels | Average Number of Farms | Average Number of Camels | Average Number of Farms | Average Number of Camels | |
| Total number that becomes susceptible | 4442 | 157,539 | 4442 | 157,539 | 4442 | 157,539 |
| Total number that becomes latent | 3142 (788) | 117,182 (29,375) | 7 (9) | 434 (332) | 7 (8) | 433 (397) |
| Total number that becomes subclinical | 3142 (788) | 117,182 (29,375) | 7 (9) | 434 (332) | 7 (8) | 433 (397) |
| Total number that becomes clinical | 3142 (788) | 117,182 (29,375) | 7 (9) | 434 (332) | 7 (8) | 433 (397) |
| Total number that becomes naturally immune | 3142 (788) | 117,182 (29,375) | 7 (9) | 434 (332) | 7 (8) | 433 (397) |
| Total number that becomes vaccine-immune | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 (66) | 2857 (2714) |
| Total number initially infected | 1(0) | 200 (0) | 1 (0) | 200 (0) | 1 (0) | 200 (0) |
| Total number that become infected over the course (not including initial infection) | 3141 (788) | 116,982 (29,375) | 6 (9) | 234 (332) | 6 (7) | 233 (397) |
| Total number identified by tracing of direct contact | 2270 (572) | 74,241 (18,833) | 6 (9) | 256 (345) | 7 (8) | 255 (378) |
| The total number identified by tracing indirect contact | 5959 (1479) | 228,895 (57,691) | 5 (6) | 213 (282) | 4 (6) | 205 (318) |
| Total number detected by clinical signs | 3142 (788) | 117,182 (29,375) | 7 (9) | 434 (332) | 7 (8) | 433 (397) |
| Total number detected by diagnostic testing | 1831 (460) | 67,057 (16,972) | 5 (6) | 178 (243) | 4 (6) | 178 (273) |
| Total number vaccinated for any reason | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 (82) | 4536 (2840) |
| Duration of the outbreak in the specific iteration | 228 (56) | 228 (56) | 36 (15) | 36 (15) | 35 (14) | 35 (14) |
Mean (SD). Source: Study simulations results.