Table 3.
Camel kids’ simulation scenarios’ outcome results.
| Output Description | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (No Control) | (No Movements) | (No Movements + Vaccination) | ||||
| Average Number of Farms | Average Number of Camels | Average Number of Farms | Average Number of Camels | Average Number of Farms | Average Number of Camels | |
| Total number that becomes susceptible | 1480 | 14,172 | 1480 | 14,172 | 1480 | 14,172 |
| Total number that becomes latent | 924 (232) | 9196 (2270) | 3 (2) | 216 (28) | 2 (2) | 215 (26) |
| Total number that becomes subclinical | 924 (232) | 9196 (2270) | 3 (2) | 216 (28) | 2 (2) | 215 (26) |
| Total number that becomes clinical | 924 (232) | 9196 (2270) | 3 (2) | 216 (28) | 2 (2) | 215 (26) |
| Total number that becomes naturally immune | 924 (232) | 9196 (2270) | 3 (2) | 216 (28) | 2 (2) | 215 (26) |
| Total number that becomes vaccine immune | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 (25) | 145 (235) |
| Total number initially infected | 1 (0) | 200 (0) | 1 (0) | 200 (0) | 1 (0) | 200 (0) |
| Total number that becomes infected over the course (not including initial infection) | 923 (232) | 8996 (2270) | 2 (2) | 16 (28) | 1 (2) | 15 (26) |
| Total number identified by tracing of direct contact | 732 (185) | 7122 (1814) | 2 (3) | 64 (102) | 2 (2) | 58 (98) |
| The total number identified by tracing indirect contact | 1476 (373) | 14,780 (3761) | 1 (2) | 41 (83) | 1 (2) | 40 (86) |
| Total number detected by clinical signs | 924 (232) | 9196 (2270) | 3 (2) | 216 (28) | 2 (2) | 215 (26) |
| Total number detected by diagnostic testing | 531 (134) | 5165 (1320) | 1 (2) | 12 (23) | 1 (2) | 11 (28) |
| Total number vaccinated for any reason | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 (27) | 411 (259) |
| Duration of the outbreak in the specific iteration | 228 (56) | 228 (56) | 36 (15) | 36 (15) | 35 (14) | 35 (14) |
Source: Study simulations results.