Table 4.
Output Description | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(No Control) | (No Movements) | (No Movements + Vaccination) | ||||
Average Number of Farms | Average Number of Camels | Average Number of Farms | Average Number of Camels | Average Number of Farms | Average Number of Camels | |
Total number that becomes susceptible | 1481 | 21,550 | 1481 | 21,550 | 1481 | 21,550 |
Total number that becomes latent | 1120 (281) | 16,457 (4136) | 2 (4) | 36 (59) | 2 (3) | 35 (61) |
Total number that becomes subclinical | 1120 (281) | 16,457 (4136) | 2 (4) | 36 (59) | 2 (3) | 35 (61) |
Total number that becomes clinical | 1120 (281) | 16,457 (4136) | 2 (4) | 36 (59) | 2 (3) | 35 (61) |
Total number that becomes naturally immune | 1120 (281) | 16,457 (4136) | 2 (4) | 36 (59) | 2 (3) | 35 (61) |
Total number that becomes vaccine-immune | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 (19) | 141 (338) |
Total number initially infected | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total number that becomes infected over the course (not including initial infection) | 1120 (281) | 16,457 (4136) | 2 (4) | 36 (59) | 2 (3) | 35 (61) |
Total number identified by tracing of direct contact | 874 (221) | 12,631 (3217) | 2 (4) | 37 (61) | 2 (3) | 36 (59) |
The total number identified by tracing indirect contact | 2385 (600) | 35,714 (9028) | 2 (2) | 27 (41) | 2 (2) | 26 (45) |
Total number detected by clinical signs | 1120 (281) | 16,457 (4136) | 2 (4) | 36 (59) | 2 (3) | 35 (61) |
Total number detected by diagnostic testing | 672 (170) | 9828 (2501) | 2 (3) | 28 (43) | 2 (3) | 28 (46) |
Total number vaccinated for any reason | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 (27) | 618 (386) |
Duration of the outbreak in the specific iteration | 228 (56) | 228 (56) | 36 (15) | 36 (15) | 35 (14) | 35 (14) |
Source: Study simulations results.