Table 5.
Output Description | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(No Control) | (No Movements) | (No Movements + Vaccination) | ||||
Average Number of Farms | Average Number of Camels | Average Number of Farms | Average Number of Camels | Average Number of Farms | Average Number of Camels | |
Total number that become susceptible | 1481 | 121,817 | 1481 | 121,817 | 1481 | 121,817 |
Total number that becomes latent | 1098 (276) | 91,529 (23,003) | 2 (3) | 182 (269) | 2 (3) | 183 (337) |
Total number that become subclinical | 1098 (276) | 91,529 (23,003) | 2 (3) | 182 (269) | 2 (3) | 183 (337) |
Total number that become clinical | 1098 (276) | 91,529 (23,003) | 2 (3) | 182 (269) | 2 (3) | 183 (337) |
Total number that becomes naturally immune | 1098 (276) | 91,529 (23,003) | 2 (3) | 182 (269) | 2 (3) | 183 (337) |
Total number that becomes vaccine immune | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 (24) | 2571 (2198) |
Total number that are initially infected | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total number that become infected over the course (not including initial infection) | 1098 (276) | 91,529 (23,003) | 2 (3) | 182 (269) | 2 (3) | 183 (337) |
Total number identified by tracing of direct contact | 664 (168) | 54,487 (13,904) | 2 (3) | 154 (241) | 2 (2) | 161 (284) |
The total number identified by tracing indirect contact | 2098 (527) | 178,401(45,066) | 2 (2) | 146 (216) | 2 (2) | 138 (245) |
Total number detected by clinical signs | 1098 (276) | 91,529 (23,003) | 2 (3) | 182 (269) | 2 (3) | 183 (337) |
Total number detected by diagnostic testing | 628 (158) | 52,064 (13,248) | 2 (2) | 138 (204) | 2 (2) | 140 (237) |
Total number vaccinated for any reason | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 (27) | 3506 (2196) |
Duration of the outbreak in the specific iteration | 228 (56) | 228 (56) | 36 (15) | 36 (15) | 35 (14) | 35 (14) |
Source: Study simulations results.