Table 4.
Week | Observed | Expected | Cumulative doses | LLR | Critical value | Bayes lower CI | Bayes upper CI | Signal (MaxSPRT) | Signal (Bayesian) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||
week 1 | 0 | 0.0000635 | 2 | 0.000 | 3.468 | 0.141 | 3.660 | No | No |
week 2 | 0 | 0.0004074 | 10 | 0.000 | 3.468 | 0.141 | 3.659 | No | No |
week 3 | 0 | 0.0006361 | 16 | 0.000 | 3.468 | 0.141 | 3.659 | No | No |
week 4 | 0 | 0.0015739 | 48 | 0.000 | 3.468 | 0.141 | 3.657 | No | No |
week 5 | 0 | 0.0149011 | 299 | 0.000 | 3.468 | 0.139 | 3.627 | No | No |
week 6 | 0 | 0.0530657 | 955 | 0.000 | 3.468 | 0.136 | 3.544 | No | No |
week 7 | 0 | 0.1538906 | 2808 | 0.000 | 3.468 | 0.129 | 3.342 | No | No |
week 8 | 1 | 0.3755498 | 7729 | 0.355 | 3.468 | 0.345 | 3.888 | No | No |
week 9 | 2 | 0.8393673 | 17822 | 0.576 | 3.468 | 0.308 | 3.492 | No | No |
week 10 | 3 | 1.6540956 | 35663 | 0.440 | 3.468 | 0.455 | 3.103 | No | No |
week 11 | 7 | 2.5440721 | 54904 | 2.629 | 3.468 | 1.042 | 3.834 | No | Yes |
week 12 | 9 | 3.3651772 | 72542 | 3.219 | 3.468 | 1.153 | 3.727 | No | Yes |
week 13 | 15 | 4.1043193 | 88592 | 8.544 | 3.468 | 1.791 | 4.577 | Yes | Yes |
week 14 | 17 | 4.7263061 | 101862 | 9.487 | 3.468 | 1.860 | 4.513 | Yes | Yes |
week 15 | 18 | 5.4139540 | 116501 | 9.039 | 3.468 | 1.790 | 4.245 | Yes | Yes |
week 16 | 21 | 5.9908531 | 128847 | 11.331 | 3.468 | 1.969 | 4.400 | Yes | Yes |
week 17 | 23 | 6.3116437 | 135672 | 13.053 | 3.468 | 2.094 | 4.525 | Yes | Yes |
week 18 | 24 | 6.7721527 | 145642 | 13.138 | 3.468 | 2.076 | 4.419 | Yes | Yes |
week 19 | 25 | 7.1411842 | 153628 | 13.466 | 3.468 | 2.082 | 4.368 | Yes | Yes |
week 20 | 25 | 7.4691285 | 160766 | 12.672 | 3.468 | 2.007 | 4.211 | Yes | Yes |
week 21 | 26 | 7.6449998 | 164584 | 13.470 | 3.468 | 2.057 | 4.255 | Yes | Yes |
week 22 | 26 | 7.8169554 | 168370 | 13.064 | 3.468 | 2.020 | 4.177 | Yes | Yes |
week 23 | 26 | 8.0741988 | 173899 | 12.479 | 3.468 | 1.966 | 4.066 | Yes | Yes |
week 24 | 26 | 8.3038506 | 178849 | 11.980 | 3.468 | 1.921 | 3.972 | Yes | Yes |
week 25 | 26 | 8.4930151 | 182989 | 11.583 | 3.468 | 1.885 | 3.898 | Yes | Yes |
week 26 | 26 | 8.6873295 | 187172 | 11.189 | 3.468 | 1.849 | 3.824 | Yes | Yes |
week 27 | 26 | 8.8479430 | 190705 | 10.874 | 3.468 | 1.821 | 3.766 | Yes | Yes |