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. 2024 Jan 8;30(2):519–530. doi: 10.1038/s41591-023-02758-x

Extended Data Fig. 5. Association of ctDNA testing with clinical outcomes and pathologic response.

Extended Data Fig. 5

a, Kaplan-Meier plots of DFS stratified by ctDNA-negative and ctDNA-positive status or b, ctDNA clearance and no clearance at the pre-surgery time point. HRs and 95% CIs were calculated using the Cox proportional hazard model. Significance was calculated using the two-sided log-rank test. c, Association between pathologic response and ctDNA dynamics from baseline, after monotherapy atezolizumab and before surgery (n = 16). Group allocation: ctDNA +/+/+: no clearance prior to surgery; ctDNA +/+/−: clearance prior to surgery; ctDNA +/−/−: clearance after monotherapy atezolizumab. Significance was tested using one-sided Fisher’s exact test. d,e, Kaplan-Meier plots of DFS stratified by ctDNA-negative and ctDNA-positive status at the MRD (d) or follow-up (e) time point post-surgery. To account for immortal time bias, a landmark analysis was performed 12 weeks after surgery (d) and from the last ctDNA follow-up time point after surgery (e). HRs and 95% CIs were calculated using the Cox Regression with Firth’s Penalized Likelihood hazard model. Significance was calculated using a two-sided log-rank test. MRD: Molecular Residual Disease.