Table 2.
Best model within type | Average log-likelihood | Area under ROC curve | Misclassification rate |
Logistic regression* | 0.3000 | 0.7477 | 0.1056 |
TreeNet | 0.3211 | 0.6176 | 0.1021 |
CART | 0.3452 | 0.5568 | 0.4454 |
Random forests | 0.6529 | 0.5238 | 0.1021 |
Predictive performance was measured using the following metrics: (a) minimal averaged log-likelihood, (b) area under the ROC curve and (c) misclassification (error) rate. The logistic regression model showed the best performance regarding 1-year mortality prediction.
*Best model across all model types with minimum average log-likelihood. Output for the best model follows.
CART, Classification and Regression Tree.