Table 1.
Variable | Total n = 257 |
Derivation Cohort n = 155 |
Validation Cohort n = 102 |
p Value |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age (years) | 59.3 11.5 | 59.2 11.6 | 59.4 11.3 | 0.873 |
Male | 249 (96.9) | 151 (97.4) | 98 (96.1) | 0.716 |
BMI (kg/m2) | 20.6 3.6 | 20.6 3.5 | 20.8 3.8 | 0.707 |
ECOG-PS | 0.698 | |||
0 | 1 (0.4) | 0 (0) | 1 (1.0) | |
1 | 188 (73.2) | 113 (72.9) | 75 (73.5) | |
2 | 46 (17.9) | 30 (19.4) | 16 (15.7) | |
3 | 18 (7.0) | 10 (6.5) | 8 (7.8) | |
4 | 4 (1.6) | 2 (1.3) | 2 (2.0) | |
Initial Vital Signs | ||||
SBP (mmHg) | 123.4 29.0 | 120.7 28.5 | 127.4 29.5 | 0.072 |
DBP (mmHg) | 76.3 15.9 | 76.0 16.6 | 76.7 15.0 | 0.700 |
Heart rate (beats/min) | 105.6 21.6 | 104.4 22.1 | 107.5 20.8 | 0.266 |
Respiratory rate (breaths/min) | 19.5 2.9 | 19.6 2.9 | 19.4 3.0 | 0.596 |
Personal Habits | ||||
Smoking history | 211 (82.1) | 126 (81.3) | 85 (83.3) | 0.741 |
Betel nut chewer | 130 (50.6) | 78 (50.3) | 52 (51.0) | 1.000 |
Alcohol consumption | 191 (74.3) | 116 (74.8) | 75 (73.5) | 0.884 |
Comorbidity | ||||
Hypertension | 77 (30.0) | 42 (27.1) | 35 (34.3) | 0.266 |
Diabetes mellitus | 39 (15.2) | 21 (13.5) | 18 (17.6) | 0.380 |
Coronary artery disease | 12 (4.7) | 7 (4.5) | 5 (4.9) | 1.000 |
Congestive heart failure | 5 (1.9) | 3 (1.9) | 2 (2.0) | 1.000 |
Gastroesophageal reflux disease | 135 (52.5) | 87 (56.1) | 48 (47.1) | 0.162 |
Chronic kidney disease | 19 (7.4) | 11 (7.1) | 8 (7.8) | 1.000 |
Prior cerebrovascular accident | 12 (4.7) | 2 (1.3) | 10 (9.8) | 0.002* |
Liver cirrhosis | 44 (17.1) | 27 (17.4) | 17 (16.7) | 1.000 |
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 7 (2.7) | 5 (3.2) | 2 (2.0) | 0.706 |
Other malignancy | 58 (22.6) | 33 (21.3) | 25 (24.5) | 0.648 |
Charlson comorbidity index | 6.92 2.83 | 6.89 2.84 | 6.97 2.82 | 0.824 |
Current Medication | ||||
Use of NSAIDs | 24 (9.3) | 12 (7.7) | 12 (11.8) | 0.381 |
Use of Anti-platelets Agent〒 | 14 (5.4) | 7 (4.5) | 7 (6.9) | 0.576 |
Use of Anti-coagulant Agent† | 1 (0.4) | 1 (0.6) | 0 (0) | 1.000 |
Use of PPI or H2-receptor antagonist | 89 (34.6) | 54 (34.8) | 35 (34.3) | 1.000 |
Initial Presenting symptoms | ||||
Hematemesis | 176 (68.5) | 108 (69.7) | 68 (66.7) | 0.681 |
Melena | 81 (31.5) | 47 (30.3) | 34 (33.3) | 0.681 |
Active bleeding | 64 (24.9) | 38 (24.5) | 26 (25.5) | 0.884 |
Arterial–esophageal fistula | 36 (14.0) | 22 (14.2) | 14 (13.7) | 1.000 |
Initial Laboratory data | ||||
WBC (103/) | 11.4 9.5 | 11.7 10.4 | 11.2 8.2 | 0.700 |
Hb (g/dL) | 9.5 2.5 | 9.6 2.5 | 9.3 2.4 | 0.317 |
PLT (103/) | 253 138 | 243 127 | 269 154 | 0.140 |
PT (s) | 12.9 6.1 | 13.1 7.6 | 12.6 2.7 | 0.544 |
Creatinine (mg/dL) | 1.05 0.75 | 1.02 0.53 | 1.10 1.00 | 0.364 |
Count data are expressed as numbers (percentages) and continuous values are expressed as mean ± SD. ECOG-PS: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Score; NSAIDs: Non-Steroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drug; BMI: body mass index; PPI: proton pump inhibitor; SBP: systolic blood pressure; DBP: diastolic blood pressure; WBC: white blood cell; Hb: hemoglobin; PLT: platelet count; PT: prothrombin time; 〒 Anti-platelet agents including Aspirin (9) or Clopidogrel (2). † Anti-coagulant agents including Warfarin (1), Apixban (2), Rivaroxaban (3), * p-value < 0.05.