FIGURE 4.

Predicted probabilities of completing calculus in high school by early numeracy skill groups. NAP = no applied problems mastery, C = counting mastery, CR = counting and concrete representational arithmetic mastery, CRA = counting, concrete representational and abstract arithmetic mastery. This figure displays the unadjusted probability of completing Calculus by the end of high school given a child’s 54-month numeracy skill group and then the adjusted probability, setting all covariates in Table 3 to their mean values. The 95% confidence intervals are shown as black vertical bars