Table 2.

Sensitivity of the emergent constraint on the specific carbon for 1.5 °C of global warming, to leaving specific models out of the emergent relationship

Model(s) left out	Emergent constraint on specific carbon budget (PgC/°C)
CESM2	548 [465, 631]
CESM2-WACCM	545 [462, 629]
CanESM5	544 [459, 629]
CanESM5-CanOE	543 [458, 630]
IPSL-CM6A-LR	545 [461, 629]
MPI-ESM1-2-LR	539 [459, 620]
NorESM2-LM	532 [458, 606]
NorESM2-MM	556 [468, 644]
UKESM1-0-LL	550 [468, 632]
CESM2-WACCM; CanESM5-CanOE; NorESM2-MM	556 [460, 650]
None excluded	541 [461, 622]

The bracketed values give the ‘likely’ bounds (66% confidence limits).