Table 2.
Alcohol and risk of all-cause mortality, AF, VA, and SCA.
| Sample number | Event number | Person*year | Univariate | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-cause mortality | |||||||||
| Non-drinker | 2,043,728 | 97,420 | 16,783,922 | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) |
| Mild drinker | 1,167,656 | 29,504 | 9,651,875 | 0.528 (0.521–0.535) | 0.851 (0.839–0.862) | 0.822 (0.810–0.833) | 0.824 (0.812–0.835) | 0.826 (0.815–0.838) | 0.836 (0.825–0.847) |
| Moderate drinker | 460,144 | 14,310 | 3,791,353 | 0.653 (0.641–0.664) | 1.018 (0.999–1.037) | 0.938 (0.920–0.956) | 0.927 (0.909–0.944) | 0.930 (0.912–0.947) | 0.932 (0.915–0.950) |
| Heavy drinker | 318,845 | 14,635 | 2,611,126 | 0.969 (0.952–0.986) | 1.249 (1.226–1.272) | 1.124 (1.103–1.145) | 1.104 (1.083–1.125) | 1.108 (1.087–1.129) | 1.104 (1.084–1.124) |
| Atrial fibrillation | |||||||||
| Non-drinker | 2,043,728 | 40,364 | 16,654,818 | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) |
| Mild drinker | 1,167,656 | 14,736 | 9,603,714 | 0.634 (0.622–0.646) | 1.009 (0.989–1.030) | 1.006 (0.985–1.027) | 1.003 (0.982–1.024) | 1.011 (0.990–1.032) | 1.014 (0.994–1.035) |
| Moderate drinker | 460,144 | 6,896 | 3,768,512 | 0.756 (0.737–0.776) | 1.168 (1.136–1.200) | 1.138 (1.107–1.171) | 1.118 (1.087–1.150) | 1.129 (1.097–1.161) | 1.135 (1.103–1.167) |
| Heavy drinker | 318,845 | 6,256 | 2,590,906 | 0.998 (0.972–1.025) | 1.342 (1.304–1.381) | 1.306 (1.269–1.345) | 1.286 (1.248–1.324) | 1.298 (1.261–1.337) | 1.298 (1.260–1.336) |
| Ventricular arrhythmia | |||||||||
| Non-drinker | 2,043,728 | 5,186 | 16,765,935 | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) |
| Mild drinker | 1,167,656 | 1,956 | 9,645,008 | 0.656 (0.623–0.691) | 0.864 (0.816–0.913) | 0.858 (0.810–0.908) | 0.859 (0.812–0.910) | 0.866 (0.818–0.917) | 0.867 (0.819–0.917) |
| Moderate drinker | 460,144 | 908 | 3,788,294 | 0.776 (0.723–0.832) | 0.973 (0.901–1.050) | 0.943 (0.872–1.019) | 0.933 (0.863–1.009) | 0.942 (0.871–1.019) | 0.943 (0.872–1.019) |
| Heavy drinker | 318,845 | 688 | 2,608,799 | 0.854 (0.788–0.924) | 0.988 (0.908–1.076) | 0.952 (0.873–1.038) | 0.942 (0.864–1.028) | 0.952 (0.873–1.039) | 0.952 (0.873–1.039) |
| Sudden cardiac arrest | |||||||||
| Non-drinker | 2,043,728 | 8,832 | 16,781,250 | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) | 1 (reference) |
| Mild drinker | 1,167,656 | 3,326 | 9,650,235 | 0.656 (0.631–0.683) | 0.840 (0.805–0.876) | 0.799 (0.766–0.834) | 0.800 (0.767–0.836) | 0.803 (0.769–0.839) | 0.815 (0.781–0.851) |
| Moderate drinker | 460,144 | 1,673 | 3,790,564 | 0.841 (0.798–0.886) | 0.970 (0.918–1.026) | 0.868 (0.820–0.918) | 0.850 (0.803–0.899) | 0.853 (0.806–0.902) | 0.849 (0.803–0.899) |
| Heavy drinker | 318,845 | 1,484 | 2,610,588 | 1.083 (1.025–1.144) | 1.073 (1.012–1.137) | 0.941 (0.888–0.999) | 0.915 (0.862–0.971) | 0.918 (0.866–0.974) | 0.928 (0.875–0.984) |
Values are expressed as hazard ratio with its 95% confidence interval.
Multivariate model 1: adjusted for age and sex.
Multivariate model 2: model 1 plus body mass index, smoking status, regular exercise habit, and income level.
Multivariate model 3: model 2 plus hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and chronic kidney disease.
Multivariate model 4: model 3 plus history of heart failure and thyroid disease.
Multivariate model 5: model 4 plus history of liver cirrhosis and cancer diagnosis.