Table 3.

Estimated effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on suicide and alcohol-specific mortality. Semi-log models. Based on SARIMA-analyses of monthly data for the period January 2016-December 2021

Outcome	Input	Gender	EST	SE	p	Q	p(Q)	Model
Suicide	Dummy	Females	− 0.031	0.268	0.907	15.215	0.230	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
	Dummy	Males	0.255	0.270	0.345	9.613	0.650	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
		Education
	Dummy	Primary	0.206	0.998	0.837	12.960	0.372	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
	Dummy	Secondary	0.036	0.208	0.863	15.331	0.082	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
	Dummy	Postsecondary	0.411	0.635	0.517	19.871	0.070	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
		Gender
	Stringency	Females	− 0.005	0.032	0.875	15.046	0.239	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
	Stringency	Males	0.018	0.030	0.559	12.883	0.378	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
		Education
	Stringency	Primary	0.040	0.058	0.497	13.861	0.310	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
	Stringency	Secondary	− 0.014	0.034	0.683	8.552	0.200	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
	Stringency	Postsecondary	0.056	0.062	0.366	21.256	0.068	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
Alcohol-specific mortality		Gender
	Dummy	Females	− 0.211	0.442	0.633	16.618	0.165	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
	Dummy	Males	0.187	0.237	0.430	9.920	0.623	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
		Education
	Dummy	Primary	− 0.007	0.287	0.980	18.587	0.099	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
	Dummy	Secondary	0.187	0.237	0.430	9.920	0.623	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
	Dummy	Postsecondary	− 0.240	0.292	0.411	10.211	0.598	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
		Gender
	Stringency	Females	− 0.019	0.029	0.515	18.043	0.114	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
	Stringency	Males	0.037	0.032	0.252	7.311	0.836	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
		Education
	Stringency	Primary	0.001	0.040	0.977	18.370	0.105	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
	Stringency	Secondary	0.037	0.032	0.252	7.311	0.836	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)
	Stringency	Postsecondary	0.006	0.044	0.897	8.942	0.708	(2,1,0)(1,0,0,12)

Q = Box-Ljung test for autocorrelation