Table 2.
Component Analysis of the Hypopharynx Cancer Incidence Growth in Kazakhstan, 2017-2021
| Age group (i) | ASP | Growth (Si2−Si1) (3)−(2) |
Incidence | Incidence growth | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| general (Pi2−Pi1) (6)−(5) | Including due to changes of | ||||||||
| 2017 (Si1) | 2021 (Si2) | 2017 (Pi1) | 2021 (Pi2) | Δ A (4)×(5) | Δ R (2)×(7) | Δ RA (4)×(7) | |||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| Both sexes | |||||||||
| <30 | 0.5032 | 0.4917 | −0.0115 | 0.01 | 0.00 | +0.0 | −0.000 | −0.006 | +0.000 |
| 30-34 | 0.0826 | 0.0857 | +0.0030 | 0.13 | 0.31 | +0.2 | +0.000 | +0.014 | +0.001 |
| 35-39 | 0.0696 | 0.0726 | +0.0030 | 0.08 | 0.15 | +0.1 | +0.000 | +0.005 | +0.000 |
| 40-44 | 0.0636 | 0.0634 | −0.0002 | 0.96 | 0.42 | −0.5 | +0.000 | −0.034 | +0.000 |
| 45-49 | 0.0589 | 0.0581 | −0.0008 | 0.94 | 1.19 | +0.2 | −0.001 | +0.014 | +0.000 |
| 50-54 | 0.0568 | 0.0531 | −0.0037 | 1.95 | 1.50 | −0.5 | −0.007 | −0.026 | +0.002 |
| 55-59 | 0.0536 | 0.0526 | −0.0010 | 3.10 | 3.12 | +0.0 | −0.003 | +0.001 | +0.000 |
| 60-64 | 0.0393 | 0.0448 | +0.0055 | 4.79 | 3.19 | −1.6 | +0.026 | −0.063 | −0.009 |
| 65-69 | 0.0291 | 0.0314 | +0.0023 | 5.53 | 6.57 | +1.0 | +0.013 | +0.030 | +0.002 |
| 70-74 | 0.0139 | 0.0213 | +0.0074 | 3.59 | 5.46 | +1.9 | +0.027 | +0.026 | +0.014 |
| 75-79 | 0.0165 | 0.0098 | −0.0067 | 3.36 | 3.24 | −0.1 | −0.022 | −0.002 | +0.001 |
| 80-84 | 0.0081 | 0.0108 | +0.0027 | 3.43 | 1.96 | −1.5 | +0.009 | −0.012 | −0.004 |
| 85+ | 0.0047 | 0.0047 | +0.0000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.0 | +0.000 | +0.000 | +0.000 |
| Total | ∑Si1=1.0 | ∑Si2=1.0 | P 1=0.90 | P 2=0.90 | −0.003 | ∑ΔA=+0.04 | ∑ΔR=−0.05 | ∑ΔRA=+0.01 | |
| Male* | |||||||||
| Total | ∑Si1=1.0 | ∑Si2=1.0 | P 1=1.20 | P 2=1.30 | +0.10 | ∑ΔA=+0.07 | ∑ΔR=+0.02 | ∑ΔRA=+0.01 | |
| Female* | |||||||||
| Total | ∑Si1=1.0 | ∑Si2=1.0 | P 1=0.61 | P 2=0.51 | −0.10 | ∑ΔA=+0.02 | ∑ΔR=−0.12 | ∑ΔRA=+0.01 | |
Δ A, the age structure of the population; ΔR, risk of acquiring illness; ΔRA, risk of acquiring illness and age structure of the population.; *The calculations were made in the same way as for the entire population.