Table 7.
Dynamic ARDL simulations and ARDL outputs.
Estimated Model= (LnEFP/LnEGR, LnEGR2,LnGLOB, LnGEN, LnFDV) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARDL | DARDL | |||||
Variables | Coefficient | t-stat. | Prob. | Coefficient | t-stat. | Prob. |
LnEGR | 9.1989* | 3.5591 | 0.0014 | 4.9132** | 2.73 | 0.011 |
ΔLnEGR | −0.2533 | −0.8535 | 0.4008 | −7.9001 | −0.81 | 0.426 |
LnEGR2 | −0.6132* | −3.2015 | 0.0035 | −0.3315** | −2.44 | 0.021 |
ΔLnEGR2 | −0.0045 | −1.4336 | 0.1631 | 0.5997 | 0.74 | 0.467 |
LnGLOB | −0.4295** | −2.6471 | 0.0134 | −0.256*** | −1.87 | 0.072 |
ΔLnGLOB | 0.0468 | 1.3947 | 0.1745 | −0.2365 | −1.52 | 0.140 |
LnGEN | −0.0817 | −1.3153 | 0.1994 | −0.0292 | −1.32 | 0.196 |
ΔLnGEN | 0.0018 | 0.1258 | 0.9008 | 0.0050 | 0.32 | 0.748 |
LnFDV | −0.1392* | −3.5067 | 0.0016 | −0.0844* | −3.47 | 0.002 |
ΔLnFDV | −0.1085* | −3.0766 | 0.0048 | |||
Dummy | −0.0777** | −2.4317 | 0.0219 | – | – | – |
ΔDummy | −0.1032* | −3.7855 | 0.0008 | – | – | – |
ECT (-1) | −0.6289* | −6.5389 | 0.0000 | −0.5864* | −4.09 | 0.000 |
R-Square | 0.9857 | 0.5865 | ||||
AdjustedR2 | 0.9777 | 0.4297 | ||||
F-statistics Prob. | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
Note: ***, **, and *denotes significance at 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively. P values are provided in brackets for diagnostic tests. ARDL estimation allows including dummy variables, while DARDL does not allow it.