Table 2.
Distribution of predicted 10-year cardiovascular disease risk scores for men 30–74 years of age, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, 2009
| CVD predicted risk scoresa |
CHD predicted risk scoresa |
Stroke predicted risk scoresa,b |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Characteristics | N | M | % Risk scores ≥20% | M | % Risk scores ≥20% | M |
| Total | 112,856 (52.5%)c | 14.6 (14.5, 14.7) | 25.0 (24.8, 25.3) | 10.4 (10.4, 10.5) | 14.9 (14.6, 15.1) | 2.32 (2.30, 2.33) |
| Age (years) | ||||||
| 30–39 | 18,005 | 4.1 (4.0, 4.2) | 0.3 (0.2, 0.4) | 2.95 (2.90 – 2.99) | 0.04 (0.02, 0.09) | 0.65 (0.64, 0.66) |
| 40–49 | 26,636 | 9.3 (9.1, 9.4) | 5.0 (4.5, 5.5) | 6.64 (6.55, 6.74) | 1.6 (1.4, 1.9) | 1.47 (1.45, 1.49) |
| 50–59 | 32,689 | 18.6 (18.4, 18.8) | 33.3 (32.4, 34.3) | 13.3 (13.2, 13.5) | 14.0 (13.3, 14.7) | 2.95 (2.92, 2.99) |
| 60–74 | 35,526 | 33.2 (32.9, 33.5) | 81.5 (80.7 – 82.3) | 23.8 (23.6, 24.1) | 56.8 (55.8, 57.7) | 5.28 (5.24, 5.33) |
| Race/ethnicity | ||||||
| Non-Hispanic white | 90,322 | 14.1 (14.0, 14.2) | 24.1 (23.9, 24.4) | 10.13 (10.07-10.18) | 13.9 (13.7, 14.2) | 2.24 (2.23, 2.26) |
| Non-Hispanic black | 7,397 | 17.5 (17.2, 17.9) | 31.5 (30.4, 32.7) | 12.6 (12.3, 12.9) | 22.2 (21.0, 23.4) | 2.79 (2.73, 2.85) |
| Hispanics | 7,300 | 15.3 (14.9, 15.8) | 25.9 (24.5, 27.4) | 11.0 (10.7, 11.3) | 15.7 (14.5, 17.0) | 2.44 (2.37, 2.51) |
| Others | 6,671 | 14.0 (13.6, 14.3) | 23.9 (22.6, 25.2) | 10.0 (9.8, 10.3) | 14.6 (13.5, 15.9) | 2.22 (2.16, 2.28) |
| Educational attainment | ||||||
| <High school | 8,008 | 17.4 (17.0, 17.8) | 31.1 (29.9, 32.3) | 12.5 (12.2, 12.8) | 20.6 (19.5, 21.7) | 2.77 (2.71, 2.83) |
| High school | 31,037 | 16.0 (15.8, 16.2) | 28.6 (28.0, 29.2) | 11.5 (11.4, 11.6) | 17.7 (17.2, 18.2) | 2.54 (2.52, 2.57) |
| >High school | 73,556 | 13.5 (13.4, 13.6) | 22.7 (22.4, 23.1) | 9.7 (9.6, 9.8) | 12.9 (12.6, 13.2) | 2.15 (2.14, 2.17) |
| Household income ($) | ||||||
| <35k | 29,999 | 16.6 (16.4, 16.8) | 30.0 (29.3, 30.7) | 11.9 (11.8, 12.1) | 18.7 (18.2, 19.3) | 2.64 (2.61, 2.68) |
| ≥35k | 73,646 | 13.5 (13.4, 13.6) | 22.7 (22.4, 23.1) | 9.7 (9.6, 9.8) | 12.8 (12.5, 13.1) | 2.15 (2.14, 2.16) |
Note: Values within parentheses are 95% CIs.
Age-standardized by the direct method to the US 2000 census population using the age groups 30–39, 40–49, 50–59, and 60–74 years. Predicted 10-year risk of developing cardiovascular disease were based on the predicted systolic blood pressure using multivariable linear regression models developed from NHANES 2005–2010.
Stable estimates of risk score prevalence ≥20% for stroke could not be obtained due to the limited sample size.
Percentage in parentheses is the survey response rate.
CHD, coronary heart disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; NHANES, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.