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. 2024 Jan 11;130(5):819–829. doi: 10.1038/s41416-023-02544-z

Table 2.

Fitted values of parameters for the latency functions of Kocher et al. [4] and Ulanowski et al. [7] as given by Eqs. (1) and (2), estimated by least squares from stochastic model, with given rates of malignant cell division by endpoint (values from Table 1).

Endpoint Subtypes Implied malignant cell division rate (G) (/cell/year) Latency function of Kocher et al. [4] (see Eq.(1)) Latency function of Ulanowski et al. [7] (see Eq.(2)) Reference
μ S μ η
Leukaemia Childhood ALL 63.292 0.376 0.016 0.375 23.806 Frei and Freireich [61]
Adult AML 14.892 1.499 0.067 1.497 22.361 Gregory et al. [62]
Lung cancer Squamous cell carcinoma and other non-adenocarcinoma 3.247a 6.407 0.308 6.398 20.840 Geddes [63] and Obayashi et al. [64]
Adenocarcinoma 1.271a 15.628 0.787 15.602 19.904
Breast cancer 1.987b 10.223 0.503 10.208 20.350 Ryu et al. [65], Spratt et al. [66], Kusama et al. [67] and Weedon-Fekjær et al. [68]
Colorectal 3.427c 6.086 0.292 6.077 20.894 Bolin et al. [45], Burke et al. [46] and Knudsen et al. [47]
Prostate 0.576d 21.110 1.735 21.020 12.209 Egawa et al. [17], D’Amico and Hanks [42] and Schmid et al. [18]
Hepatocellular carcinoma 1.808 11.182 0.553 11.164 22.256 Nathani et al. [69]
Thyroid 0.629e 19.485 1.590 19.403 12.317 Oh et al. [38], Miyauchi et al. [39] and Kihara et al. [40]
Head and neck 4.150 5.072 0.241 5.064 21.085 Jensen et al. [70]
Oropharyngeal 2.637 7.810 0.379 7.798 22.931 Waaijer et al. [71]

In all cases except prostate and thyroid we assume the limiting malignancy number of Nlim = 109 with the implied rate of detection of cancer/malignant cell/year of 2.9957 × 10−9, but for prostate and thyroid we assume the limiting malignancy number of Nlim = 106 with the implied rate of detection of cancer/malignant cell/year of 2.9957 × 10–6.

ALL acute lymphoblastic leukaemia, AML acute myeloid leukaemia.

aMean of values of G derived from studies of Geddes [63] and Obayashi et al. [64].

bMean of values of G derived from studies of Ryu et al. [65], Spratt et al. [66], Kusama et al. [67] and Weedon-Fekjær et al. [68].

cMean of values of G derived from studies of Bolin et al. [45], Burke et al. [46] and Knudsen et al. [47].

dMean of values of G derived from study of Egawa et al. [17] and D’Amico and Hanks [42] and separate estimates for clinically-confined and non-organ confined cases from study of Schmid et al. [18].

eMean of values of G derived from studies of Oh et al. [38], Miyauchi et al. [39] and Kihara et al. [40].