Fig. 2. Models across the specialism-generalism gradient fit empirical data.

ECLIP models (lines) are compared against empirical data (points). Model lines represent the median MCMC solution within 95% CI range found by the converged chains, shown as bands with colors representing the choice of γ. Data signals include Prochlorococcus cell abundances (top), the percentage of infected Prochlorococcus cells, the abundance of free viruses and the abundance of heterotrophic nanoflagellate grazers (bottom). The models were fitted against detrended data; for visualization we have added these trends to the model solutions. Gray bars indicate nighttime. Model solutions with: a γ = 0 (grazers act as specialists), b γ = 0.01, c γ = 0.05, d γ = 0.1, e γ = 0.2, f γ = 0.5 day⁻¹. The degree of grazer specialism (Spe.) is shown in parentheses above each subplot.