Table 2:
Sequential Cox Regression Analysis Using Donor Sex as a Prognostic Risk Factor for All-Cause Mortality and Graft Failure in Liver Transplant Recipients with Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis
| Male vs Female Donor | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (A) All-Cause Mortality | (B) Graft Failure | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 32.38 | (28.73 - 36.36) | Male | 6.57 | (4.97 - 8.52) | ||||||
| Female | 35.18 | (30.76 - 40.04) | Female | 10.98 | (8.56 - 13.88) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 221 | Male | 69 | ||||||||
| Female | 276 | Female | 56 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 0.33 | 0.92 | (0.77 - 1.09) | 1 | 0.004 ** | 0.60 | (0.42 - 0.85) | ||||
| 2 | 0.31 | 0.91 | (0.76 - 1.09) | 2 | 0.005 ** | 0.60 | (0.42 - 0.86) | ||||
| 3 | 0.31 | 0.91 | (0.76 - 1.09) | 3 | 0.004 ** | 0.60 | (0.42 - 0.85) | ||||
| † FM | 0.47 | 0.94 | (0.78 - 1.12) | † FM | 0.01 * | 0.63 | (0.44 - 0.91) | ||||
| Mismatch Subanalysis: Female (Sex Mismatch) vs Male Donor in Male Recipients | |||||||||||
| (A) All-Cause Mortality | (B) Graft Failure | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 31.74 | (27.55 - 36.37) | Male | 6.35 | (4.54 - 8.63) | ||||||
| Female | 36.90 | (31.15 - 43.38) | Female | 12.56 | (9.28 - 16.62) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 141 | Male | 48 | ||||||||
| Female | 200 | Female | 40 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 0.16 | 0.86 | (0.69 - 1.06) | 1 | 0.002 ** | 0.51 | (0.33 - 0.77) | ||||
| 2 | 0.14 | 0.85 | (0.68 - 1.06) | 2 | 0.002 ** | 0.51 | (0.33 - 0.78) | ||||
| 3 | 0.13 | 0.84 | (0.68 - 1.05) | 3 | 0.002 ** | 0.50 | (0.33 - 0.77) | ||||
| † FM | 0.17 | 0.86 | (0.69 - 1.07) | † FM | 0.003 ** | 0.51 | (0.33 - 0.79) | ||||
| Mismatch Subanalysis: Male (Sex Mismatch) vs Female Donor in Female Recipients | |||||||||||
| (A) All-Cause Mortality | (B) Graft Failure | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 34.21 | (27.05 - 42.64) | Male | 7.20 | (4.12 - 11.67) | ||||||
| Female | 32.51 | (25.86 - 40.30) | Female | 8.53 | (5.29 - 13.02) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 80 | Male | 21 | ||||||||
| Female | 76 | Female | 16 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 0.94 | 1.01 | (0.74 - 1.39) | 1 | 0.50 | 0.80 | (0.41 - 1.54) | ||||
| 2 | 0.97 | 1.01 | (0.73 - 1.39) | 2 | 0.65 | 0.86 | (0.44 - 1.67) | ||||
| 3 | 0.99 | 1.00 | (0.72 - 1.38) | 3 | 0.64 | 0.85 | (0.44 - 1.67) | ||||
| † FM | 0.72 | 1.06 | (0.76 - 1.48) | † FM | 0.99 | 1.00 | (0.50 - 2.02) | ||||
p < 0.05
p < 0.01
p < 0.001
FM indicates Final Model
Model 1 includes VOI (variable of interest) and demographics; Model 2 includes Model 1 terms with the addition of comorbidities, and liver disease etiologies; Model 3 includes Model 2 terms with the addition of hepatic variables, MELD score, and liver laboratory markers; Model 4 includes Model 3 terms with the addition of donor demographics