Table 3:
Sequential Cox Regression Analysis Using Donor Sex as a Prognostic Risk Factor for Specific Causes of Death in Liver Transplant Recipients with Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis
| Male vs Female Donor | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (A) Death due to General Cardiac Causes | (B) Death due to Graft Biliary Complications | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 2.82 | (1.80 - 4.19) | Male | 0.12 | (0.00 - 0.65) | ||||||
| Female | 3.50 | (2.20 - 5.30) | Female | 0.80 | (0.26 - 1.86) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 22 | Male | 5 | ||||||||
| Female | 24 | Female | 1 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 0.48 | 0.81 | (0.45 - 1.45) | 1 | 0.07 | 0.13 | (0.02 - 1.15) | ||||
| 2 | 0.48 | 0.81 | (0.45 - 1.45) | 2 | 0.07 | 0.13 | (0.02 - 1.16) | ||||
| 3 | 0.47 | 0.81 | (0.45 - 1.45) | 3 | 0.06 | 0.12 | (0.01 - 1.08) | ||||
| † FM | 0.35 | 0.75 | (0.41 - 1.36) | † FM | 0.07 | 0.10 | (0.01 - 1.19) | ||||
| (C) Death due to Graft Infections | (D) Death due to Recurrent Liver Disease | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 0.00 | (0.00 - 0.43) | Male | 1.06 | (0.48 - 2.00) | ||||||
| Female | 0.32 | (0.04 - 1.15) | Female | 1.43 | (0.66 - 2.72) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 2 | Male | 9 | ||||||||
| Female | 0 | Female | 9 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | 1 | 0.48 | 0.72 | (0.28 - 1.82) | ||||
| 2 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | 2 | 0.49 | 0.72 | (0.28 - 1.82) | ||||
| 3 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | 3 | 0.49 | 0.72 | (0.28 - 1.82) | ||||
| † FM | 0.98 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | † FM | 0.56 | 0.75 | (0.29 - 1.96) | ||||
| (E) Death due to Graft Rejection | (F) Death due to Graft Vascular Complications | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 0.82 | (0.33 - 1.69) | Male | 0.23 | (0.03 - 0.85) | ||||||
| Female | 1.59 | (0.76 - 2.93) | Female | 0.64 | (0.17 - 1.63) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 10 | Male | 4 | ||||||||
| Female | 7 | Female | 2 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 0.15 | 0.49 | (0.19 - 1.29) | 1 | 0.26 | 0.37 | (0.07 - 2.06) | ||||
| 2 | 0.16 | 0.50 | (0.19 - 1.31) | 2 | 0.28 | 0.39 | (0.07 - 2.14) | ||||
| 3 | 0.13 | 0.47 | (0.17 - 1.25) | 3 | 0.24 | 0.35 | (0.06 - 1.98) | ||||
| † FM | 0.07 | 0.38 | (0.13 - 1.08) | † FM | 0.15 | 0.26 | (0.04 - 1.65) | ||||
| (G) Death due to General Respiratory Causes | (H) Death due to General Infectious Causes | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 1.17 | (0.56 - 2.16) | Male | 7.51 | (5.79 - 9.58) | ||||||
| Female | 2.39 | (1.34 - 3.94) | Female | 7.80 | (5.78 - 10.30) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 15 | Male | 49 | ||||||||
| Female | 10 | Female | 64 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 0.08 | 0.49 | (0.22 - 1.09) | 1 | 0.89 | 0.97 | (0.67 - 1.42) | ||||
| 2 | 0.10 | 0.51 | (0.23 - 1.14) | 2 | 0.90 | 0.98 | (0.67 - 1.42) | ||||
| 3 | 0.11 | 0.51 | (0.23 - 1.15) | 3 | 0.90 | 0.98 | (0.67 - 1.42) | ||||
| † FM | 0.12 | 0.52 | (0.23 - 1.18) | † FM | 0.87 | 1.03 | (0.70 - 1.51) | ||||
| (I) Death due to General Renal Causes | |||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | |||||||||||
| Male | 1.29 | (0.64 - 2.31) | |||||||||
| Female | 1.59 | (0.76 - 2.93) | |||||||||
| Raw Incidence | |||||||||||
| Male | 10 | ||||||||||
| Female | 11 | ||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||||||
| 1 | 0.53 | 0.76 | (0.32 - 1.79) | ||||||||
| 2 | 0.56 | 0.77 | (0.33 - 1.84) | ||||||||
| 3 | 0.53 | 0.76 | (0.32 - 1.81) | ||||||||
| † FM | 0.55 | 0.76 | (0.31 - 1.86) | ||||||||
| Mismatch Subanalysis: Female (Sex Mismatch) vs Male Donor in Male Recipients | |||||||||||
| (A) Death due to Graft Rejection | (B) Death due to General Respiratory Causes | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 0.63 | (0.17 - 1.62) | Male | 1.27 | (0.55 - 2.50) | ||||||
| Female | 2.09 | (0.90 - 4.12) | Female | 3.14 | (1.62 - 5.48) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 8 | Male | 12 | ||||||||
| Female | 4 | Female | 8 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 0.05 | 0.30 | (0.09 - 1.00) | 1 | 0.05 | 0.41 | (0.17 - 1.00) | ||||
| 2 | 0.04 | * | 0.28 | (0.08 - 0.96) | 2 | 0.07 | 0.43 | (0.18 - 1.07) | |||
| 3 | 0.03 | * | 0.26 | (0.07 - 0.90) | 3 | 0.06 | 0.42 | (0.17 - 1.03) | |||
| † FM | 0.02 | * | 0.17 | (0.04 - 0.72) | † FM | 0.04 | * | 0.38 | (0.15 - 0.96) | ||
| (C) Death due to Graft Infections | (D) Death due to Recurrent Liver Disease | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 0.00 | (0.00 - 0.59) | Male | 1.11 | (0.45 - 2.29) | ||||||
| Female | 0.52 | (0.06 - 1.89) | Female | 1.57 | (0.58 - 3.41) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 2 | Male | 6 | ||||||||
| Female | 0 | Female | 7 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | 1 | 0.57 | 0.73 | (0.24 - 2.17) | ||||
| 2 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | 2 | 0.54 | 0.71 | (0.24 - 2.12) | ||||
| 3 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | 3 | 0.55 | 0.72 | (0.24 - 2.17) | ||||
| † FM | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | † FM | 0.42 | 0.62 | (0.20 - 1.98) | ||||
| (E) Death due to General Cardiac Causes | (F) Death due to Graft Vascular Complications | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 3.02 | (1.82 - 4.70) | Male | 0.32 | (0.04 - 1.15) | ||||||
| Female | 3.40 | (1.81 - 5.81) | Female | 0.79 | (0.16 - 2.29) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 13 | Male | 3 | ||||||||
| Female | 19 | Female | 2 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 0.75 | 0.89 | (0.44 - 1.80) | 1 | 0.31 | 0.39 | (0.06 - 2.36) | ||||
| 2 | 0.76 | 0.90 | (0.44 - 1.82) | 2 | 0.38 | 0.45 | (0.07 - 2.73) | ||||
| 3 | 0.67 | 0.86 | (0.42 - 1.74) | 3 | 0.32 | 0.40 | (0.06 - 2.49) | ||||
| † FM | 0.65 | 0.84 | (0.40 - 1.76) | † FM | 0.35 | 0.39 | (0.06 - 2.75) | ||||
| (G) Death due to Graft Biliary Complications | (H) Death due to General Infectious Causes | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 0.16 | (0.00 - 0.88) | Male | 6.66 | (4.81 - 9.00) | ||||||
| Female | 0.79 | (0.16 - 2.29) | Female | 8.38 | (5.74 - 11.80) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 3 | Male | 32 | ||||||||
| Female | 1 | Female | 42 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 0.16 | 0.20 | (0.02 - 1.93) | 1 | 0.37 | 0.81 | (0.51 - 1.29) | ||||
| 2 | 0.16 | 0.19 | (0.02 - 1.89) | 2 | 0.37 | 0.81 | (0.51 - 1.29) | ||||
| 3 | 0.10 | 0.14 | (0.01 - 1.44) | 3 | 0.34 | 0.80 | (0.50 - 1.27) | ||||
| † FM | 0.30 | 0.25 | (0.02 - 3.45) | † FM | 0.47 | 0.84 | (0.52 - 1.35) | ||||
| (I) Death due to General Renal Causes | |||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | |||||||||||
| Male | 1.59 | (0.76 - 2.92) | |||||||||
| Female | 1.83 | (0.74 - 3.77) | |||||||||
| Raw Incidence | |||||||||||
| Male | 7 | ||||||||||
| Female | 10 | ||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||||||
| 1 | 0.77 | 0.86 | (0.33 - 2.27) | ||||||||
| 2 | 0.99 | 1.01 | (0.38 - 2.69) | ||||||||
| 3 | 0.86 | 0.91 | (0.34 - 2.50) | ||||||||
| † FM | 0.84 | 0.90 | (0.32 - 2.53) | ||||||||
| Mismatch Subanalysis: Male (Sex Mismatch) vs Female Donor in Female Recipients | |||||||||||
| (A) Death due to General Cardiac Causes | (B) Death due to Graft Biliary Complications | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 2.25 | (0.73 - 5.24) | Male | 0.00 | (0.00 - 1.66) | ||||||
| Female | 3.66 | (1.67 - 6.93) | Female | 0.81 | (0.10 - 2.93) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 9 | Male | 2 | ||||||||
| Female | 5 | Female | 0 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 0.32 | 0.57 | (0.19 - 1.73) | 1 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | ||||
| 2 | 0.29 | 0.55 | (0.18 - 1.67) | 2 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | ||||
| 3 | 0.27 | 0.53 | (0.18 - 1.61) | 3 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | ||||
| † FM | 0.16 | 0.44 | (0.14 - 1.40) | † FM | 0.99 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | ||||
| (C) Death due to Recurrent Liver Disease | (D) Death due to Graft Rejection | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 0.90 | (0.11 - 3.25) | Male | 1.35 | (0.28 - 3.94) | ||||||
| Female | 1.22 | (0.25 - 3.56) | Female | 0.81 | (0.10 - 2.93) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 3 | Male | 2 | ||||||||
| Female | 2 | Female | 3 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 0.68 | 0.68 | (0.11 - 4.20) | 1 | 0.77 | 1.30 | (0.21 - 7.97) | ||||
| 2 | 0.69 | 0.70 | (0.11 - 4.25) | 2 | 0.54 | 1.83 | (0.26 - 12.64) | ||||
| 3 | 0.79 | 1.30 | (0.19 - 9.10) | 3 | 0.61 | 1.70 | (0.22 - 13.02) | ||||
| † FM | 0.32 | 2.99 | (0.34 - 26.12) | † FM | 0.69 | 1.47 | (0.22 - 9.90) | ||||
| (E) Death due to Graft Vascular Complications | (F) Death due to General Respiratory Causes | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 0.00 | (0.00 - 1.66) | Male | 0.90 | (0.11 - 3.25) | ||||||
| Female | 0.41 | (0.01 - 2.26) | Female | 1.22 | (0.25 - 3.56) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 1 | Male | 3 | ||||||||
| Female | 0 | Female | 2 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | 1 | 0.79 | 0.78 | (0.13 - 4.75) | ||||
| 2 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | 2 | 0.77 | 0.77 | (0.13 - 4.65) | ||||
| 3 | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | 3 | 0.83 | 0.81 | (0.13 - 5.25) | ||||
| † FM | 1.00 | 0.00 | (0.00 - Inf) | † FM | 0.94 | 0.93 | (0.13 - 6.85) | ||||
| (G) Death due to General Infectious Causes | (H) Death due to Sepsis | ||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | ||||||||||
| Male | 9.90 | (6.22 - 14.96) | Male | 7.65 | (4.46 - 12.22) | ||||||
| Female | 6.91 | (4.03 - 11.04) | Female | 4.47 | (2.23 - 7.98) | ||||||
| Raw Incidence | Raw Incidence | ||||||||||
| Male | 17 | Male | 11 | ||||||||
| Female | 22 | Female | 17 | ||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | ||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||
| 1 | 0.34 | 1.37 | (0.72 - 2.59) | 1 | 0.23 | 1.60 | (0.75 - 3.45) | ||||
| 2 | 0.31 | 1.39 | (0.73 - 2.64) | 2 | 0.19 | 1.68 | (0.77 - 3.64) | ||||
| 3 | 0.36 | 1.35 | (0.71 - 2.57) | 3 | 0.21 | 1.64 | (0.75 - 3.58) | ||||
| † FM | 0.29 | 1.43 | (0.74 - 2.77) | † FM | 0.16 | 1.76 | (0.79 - 3.92) | ||||
| (I) Death due to General Renal Causes | |||||||||||
| Incidence Rates per 1000 Person-Years | |||||||||||
| Male | 0.45 | (0.01 - 2.51) | |||||||||
| Female | 1.22 | (0.25 - 3.56) | |||||||||
| Raw Incidence | |||||||||||
| Male | 3 | ||||||||||
| Female | 1 | ||||||||||
| Sequential Cox Regression Analysis | |||||||||||
| Model | p-value | aHR | 95% CI | ||||||||
| 1 | 0.30 | 0.29 | (0.03 - 2.92) | ||||||||
| 2 | 0.29 | 0.28 | (0.03 - 3.02) | ||||||||
| 3 | 0.24 | 0.20 | (0.01 - 2.88) | ||||||||
| † FM | 0.61 | 0.55 | (0.06 - 5.35) | ||||||||
p < 0.05
p < 0.01
p < 0.001
FM indicates Final Model
Model 1 includes VOI (variable of interest) and demographics; Model 2 includes Model 1 terms with the addition of comorbidities, and liver disease etiologies; Model 3 includes Model 2 terms with the addition of hepatic variables, MELD score, and liver laboratory markers; Model 4 includes Model 3 terms with the addition of donor demographics