Table 2.
Event study regressions of self-reported face mask use, SARS-CoV-2 reproduction numbers, and growth rates of COVID-19 cases on face mask mandates. Percentage point changes are shown for self-reported face mask use and growth rates of COVID-19 cases, and unit changes are shown for SARS-CoV-2 reproduction numbers. Data sources: COVID-19 Trends and Impact Survey, Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker, Our World in Data—COVID-19 data set, and Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports.
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Self-reported face mask usea,b (observations=8867) | Reproduction numbera,b (observations=6078) | Case growth ratesa,b (observations=5960) | ||||
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Percentage points (SE) | P value | Units (SE) | P value | Percentage points (SE) | P value | |
| ATTc | 8.81 (3.08) | .006 | −0.31 (0.11) | .008 | −0.98 (1.66) | .56 | |
| Subgroup mandate | 7.33 (4.76) | .13 | 0.03 (0.09) | .78 | 1.21 (1.54) | .44 | |
| Level-2 mandate | 4.49 (4.88) | .36 | 0.16 (0.11) | .14 | 1.06 (1.17) | .37 | |
| Level-3 mandate | 2.43 (4.62) | .60 | 0.0006 (0.11) | >.99 | 1.39 (2.13) | .52 | |
| School closure | —d | — | −0.02 (0.07) | .74 | 0.64 (1.01) | .53 | |
| Ban on events | — | — | −0.11 (0.05) | .05 | 0.23 (1.13) | .84 | |
| Ban on gatherings | — | — | −0.04 (0.04) | .32 | −1.89 (1.27) | .14 | |
| Curfew | — | — | 0.01 (0.06) | .93 | 1.49 (1.21) | .22 | |
| International travel restrictions | — | — | −0.13 (0.06) | .05 | −2.43 (1.17) | .04 | |
| Protection of older adults | — | — | 0.06 (0.09) | .46 | −0.84 (2.89) | .77 | |
| Mobility | — | — | 0.01 (0) | .10 | 0.51 (0.14) | <.001 | |
| Tests per 100,000 inhabitants | — | — | 0 (0) | .07 | 0 (0) | .02 | |
aAll models have been estimated with country and time fixed effects.
bSE (in parentheses) are clustered at the country level.
cATT: Average Treatment Effect on the Treated. The ATT is obtained by averaging Sun and Abraham [26] interaction-weighted estimates of postmandate period effects.
dThe model was specified with ATT and subgroup as well as level-2 and level-3 mandate effects, only.