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. 2024 Mar 8;10:e49307. doi: 10.2196/49307

Table 2.

Event study regressions of self-reported face mask use, SARS-CoV-2 reproduction numbers, and growth rates of COVID-19 cases on face mask mandates. Percentage point changes are shown for self-reported face mask use and growth rates of COVID-19 cases, and unit changes are shown for SARS-CoV-2 reproduction numbers. Data sources: COVID-19 Trends and Impact Survey, Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker, Our World in Data—COVID-19 data set, and Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports.


Self-reported face mask usea,b (observations=8867) Reproduction numbera,b (observations=6078) Case growth ratesa,b (observations=5960)

Percentage points (SE) P value Units (SE) P value Percentage points (SE) P value
ATTc 8.81 (3.08) .006 −0.31 (0.11) .008 −0.98 (1.66) .56
Subgroup mandate 7.33 (4.76) .13 0.03 (0.09) .78 1.21 (1.54) .44
Level-2 mandate 4.49 (4.88) .36 0.16 (0.11) .14 1.06 (1.17) .37
Level-3 mandate 2.43 (4.62) .60 0.0006 (0.11) >.99 1.39 (2.13) .52
School closure d −0.02 (0.07) .74 0.64 (1.01) .53
Ban on events −0.11 (0.05) .05 0.23 (1.13) .84
Ban on gatherings −0.04 (0.04) .32 −1.89 (1.27) .14
Curfew 0.01 (0.06) .93 1.49 (1.21) .22
International travel restrictions −0.13 (0.06) .05 −2.43 (1.17) .04
Protection of older adults 0.06 (0.09) .46 −0.84 (2.89) .77
Mobility 0.01 (0) .10 0.51 (0.14) <.001
Tests per 100,000 inhabitants 0 (0) .07 0 (0) .02

aAll models have been estimated with country and time fixed effects.

bSE (in parentheses) are clustered at the country level.

cATT: Average Treatment Effect on the Treated. The ATT is obtained by averaging Sun and Abraham [26] interaction-weighted estimates of postmandate period effects.

dThe model was specified with ATT and subgroup as well as level-2 and level-3 mandate effects, only.