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. 2024 Mar 8;10:e49307. doi: 10.2196/49307

Table 3.

Event study regressions of self-reported face mask use, SARS-CoV-2 reproduction numbers, and growth rates of COVID-19 cases on face mask recommendations. The table reports percentage point changes in self-reported face mask use and growth rates of COVID-19 cases as well as unit changes in reproduction numbers. Data sources: COVID-19 Trends and Impact Survey, Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker, Our World in Data—COVID-19 data set, and Google COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports.


Self-reported face mask usea,b (observations=13,159) Reproduction numbera,b (observations=8500) Case growth in casesa.b (observations=8325)

Percentage points (SE) P value Units (SE) P value Percentage points (SE) P value
ATTc 5.84 (1.60) <.001 −0.06 (0.16) .70 −2.45 (4.54) .59
Mask mandate 11.70 (3.44) .001 −0.19 (0.09) .04 −2.01 (1.36) .15
Subgroup mandate 13.60 (4.34) .002 −0.18 (0.12) .16 −3.18 (2.22) .16
Level 2—mandate 1.16 (3.20) .72 0.05 (0.08) .54 2.22 (1.38) .11
Level 3—mandate −1.27 (3.88) .74 −0.08 (0.10) .42 0.76 (1.99) .70
School closure d 0.07 (0.05) .12 1.13 (0.92) .22
Ban on events −0.12 (0.05) .02 −0.38 (0.77) .62
Ban on gatherings −0.02 (0.05) .70 −0.70 (1.02) .50
Curfew −0.09 (0.04) .02 −0.81 (0.66) .23
International travel restrictions −0.09 (0.06) .15 −1.58 (1.41) .27
Protection of older adults 0.04 (0.05) .42 −0.78 (1.50) .61
Mobility −0.01 (0.01) .26 0.37 (0.098) <.001
Tests per 100,000 inhabitants 0 (0) .20 0 (0) .02

aAll models have been estimated with country and time fixed effects.

bSE (in parentheses) are clustered at the country level.

cATT: Average Treatment Effect on the Treated. The ATT is obtained by averaging Sun and Abraham [26] interaction-weighted estimates of postmandate period effects.

dThe model was specified with ATT and subgroup as well as level-2 and level-3 mandate effects, only.