Table 3.
Contrast estimates for party control in state legislatures and the governor’s party on logged state race-specific IMR
| Contrast | Estimate | LnWIMR | LnBIMR | Racial Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| ||||
| Legislature Transitions | ||||
|
|
||||
| All Dem to Lower House Rep | Coeff | .014 | .041 | .029 |
| p-value | .295 | .339 | .410 | |
| 95% CI | −.013 – .041 | −.044 – .126 | −.041 – .099 | |
| All Dem to Upper House Rep | Coeff | .018 | .040 | .022 |
| p-value | .208 | .007 | .122 | |
| 95% CI | −.011 – .047 | .011 – .069 | −.006 – .049 | |
| All Dem to Both Houses Rep | Coeff | .026 | .059 | .033 |
| p-value | .030 | .021 | .079 | |
| 95% CI | .003 – .049 | .009 – .109 | −.004 – .069 | |
|
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| Governor Transitions | ||||
|
|
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| All Dem to Governor Rep | Coeff | .004 | .001 | −.002 |
| p-value | .525 | .897 | .766 | |
| 95% CI | −.009 – .017 | −.021 – .024 | −.018 – .013 | |
|
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| Legislatures and Governor Transitions | ||||
|
|
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| All Dem to All Rep | Coeff | .030 | .061 | .030 |
| p-value | .008 | .014 | .132 | |
| 95% CI | .008 – .052 | .013 – .109 | −.009 – .070 | |
Note: All effects are derived from estimates of equation 1. The standard errors are clustered at the state level to account for arbitrary forms of within state serial correlations. “Racial Gap” refers to LnBIMR – LnWIMR. All regressions are weighted using time-constant, averaged total number of Black births in the states. The sample comprises the 32 states with enough Black population to retrieve reliable IMRs. Controls are females average age, unemployment rate, the birth rate, and time and state fixed effects. Boldface indicates statistical significance (p<0.05).