Fig. 3.

Actual trend in out-of-area placements and expected trend in the absence of changes to for-profit outsourcing 2011–2022.

Dashed line represents predicted changes to the number of children in care placed outside their LA boundary had there been no increase in the number of children placed with for-profit providers. Shaded area represents 95 % confidence intervals. Full table of regression used to calculate the average marginal effect and confidence intervals available in Appendix (Table A3).