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. 2024 Mar 12;331(10):850–860. doi: 10.1001/jama.2024.0851

Table 1. Protocol of a Target Trial on ADHD Medication on Mortality in Individuals With ADHD and Emulation Using Observational Data.

Protocol component Target randomized trial Emulation using observational data
Eligibility criteria
  • Individuals aged 6-64 y with an incident clinic diagnosis of ADHD from January 2007 through December 2018

  • No prior dispensation of ADHD medication

  • Same as the target trial

Treatment strategies
  • Initiate ADHD medication within 3 months after diagnosis and continue the prescribed medication

  • Do not initiate ADHD medication during the follow-up

  • Same as the target trial

Assignment procedures Eligible individuals are randomly assigned to either strategy at baseline and are aware of the assigned strategy Randomization is emulated by cloning eligible individuals and assigning each copy to 1 treatment strategy
Follow-up period Follow-up starts at treatment assignment and ends at death, loss to follow-up (emigration), or administrative end of follow-up (December 31, 2020, or 2 years after baseline), whichever occurs first Same as the target trial
Outcomes All-cause and cause-specific mortality within 2 years after baseline Same as the target trial
Causal contrasts of interest Effect of adhering to the treatment strategies (per protocol) during follow-up Observational analogue of the per-protocol effect
Analysis plan Effect estimates are calculated from an inverse probability-weighted, pooled-logistic regression model, with censoring at deviation from the protocol and adjustment for baseline and postbaseline covariates Same as the target trial, except that the analyses are conducted in an expanded data set that includes copies of each eligible individual

Abbreviation: ADHD, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder.